EFFECT ·Filed Jun 22, 2026

WOLF

WOLFSPEED, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002068
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The shelf is now live — selling stockholders can begin distributing shares at any time. Monitor for a prospectus supplement or Form 144 filings indicating actual sales. The overhang is material given the company's $3.0B market cap and weak analyst sentiment (0% bullish). Any large block trade or accelerated offering would pressure the stock further.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
WOLF ▼ -54.65% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +54.65% · α vs SPY +56.40% · entry $52.97 → $24.02
Entry anchored
Jun 18, 07:46 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-7.66%
call +7.66% · α +6.21%
$48.91
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-13.21%
call +13.21% · α +11.15%
$45.97
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-43.57%
call +43.57% · α +43.42%
$29.89
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-54.65%
call +54.65% · α +56.40%
$24.02
settled 16d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective Wolfspeed's S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-296645) on June 18, 2026, covering the resale of up to 24,072,041 shares of common stock by selling stockholders. The registered shares include 3,250,030 currently held shares, 2,000,000 shares issuable upon exercise of pre-funded warrants, and 18,822,011 shares issuable upon conversion of 3.5% Convertible 1.5 Lien Senior Secured Notes due 2031. Wolfspeed receives no proceeds from these sales, but the effectiveness creates a persistent overhang of potential dilution representing approximately 24% of shares outstanding at the June 8 reference price of $55.42.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: June 18, 2026 for S-1 File No. 333-296645
  • Up to 24,072,041 shares of common stock registered for resale by selling stockholders
  • Breakdown: 3,250,030 held shares, 2,000,000 from pre-funded warrants, 18,822,011 from convertible note conversion
  • Wolfspeed receives no proceeds from any sales by selling stockholders
  • Reference price: $55.42 per share on June 8, 2026
  • Registered shares represent substantial potential dilution overhang

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to 24,072,041 shares (approximately 24% of shares outstanding at $55.42 reference price, implying ~$1.33B in market value at risk of being sold)

dilutionshare countmarket overhang

Risk Factors

  • Immediate overhang from registered shares could cap any upside and pressure the stock
  • Selling stockholders may sell aggressively, especially given the company's post-bankruptcy restructuring context
  • Convertible note conversion adds further dilution if holders elect to convert and sell

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Semiconductors

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002068
Document: 9999999995-26-002068-index.html9999999995-26-002068
Document: 9999999995-26-002068.txt9999999995-26-002068
7 reports for WOLF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for WOLF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
20d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.96 $27.71▲ +15.65%▲ +15.54%$34.98 (+45.99%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$26.93 $26.65▼ −1.04%▼ −0.92%$34.98 (+29.89%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$20.06 $25.19▲ +25.57%▲ +20.04%$34.98 (+74.38%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$52.97 $45.97▲ +13.21%▲ +11.15%$34.98 (+33.96%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$43.42 $45.00▲ +3.64%▲ +0.21%$34.98 (−19.44%)
Mar 19, 2026
28w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$17.06 $16.82▼ −1.41%▲ +0.80%$34.98 (+105.04%)
Mar 9, 2026
29w ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$16.58 $17.89▼ −7.90%▼ −8.81%$34.98 (−110.98%)
Showing 7 of 7

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