8-K ·Filed Jul 7, 2026

VXRT

Vaxart, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001437749-26-022876
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Safety data is clean but the sentinel cohort is too small for efficacy conclusions. The main cohort readout in 2027 is the key catalyst. Monitor for any early efficacy signals or regulatory interactions in the interim.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
VXRT ▼ -18.18% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -18.18% · α vs SPY -21.27% · entry $0.5500 → $0.4500
Entry anchored
Jul 7, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.04%
call +0.04% · α +0.35%
$0.5502
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.55%
$0.5500
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+9.09%
call +9.09% · α +5.93%
$0.6000
settled 8w ago
T+60d
-18.18%
call -18.18% · α -21.27%
$0.4500
settled 2d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vaxart reported topline 12-month safety data from the 400-participant sentinel safety cohort of its Phase 2b oral pill COVID-19 vaccine trial. No vaccine-related serious adverse events or sustained Grade 3+ adverse events were observed in either the oral vaccine or mRNA comparator arms. The complete study data, including the ~5,000-participant main cohort, is anticipated in 2027.

Key Facts

  • Topline 12-month safety data from ~400-participant sentinel safety cohort of Phase 2b oral pill COVID-19 vaccine trial
  • No vaccine-related serious adverse events (SAEs) or sustained Grade 3+ adverse events in either arm
  • 201 participants received oral pill vaccine; 199 received approved mRNA vaccine targeting XBB strain
  • Most common AEs in oral vaccine arm: malaise/fatigue (20.9%), headache (18.9%), anorexia (10.0%)
  • Most common AEs in mRNA arm: injection site pain (60.3%), injection site tenderness (40.2%), malaise/fatigue (35.2%)
  • Symptomatic COVID occurred in 33 oral vaccine recipients vs 30 mRNA recipients; cohort not powered for efficacy
  • Complete study data (sentinel + ~5,000 main cohort) expected in 2027
  • Project NextGen/BARDA award valued at up to $344.8 million

Financial Impact

No financial data reported; BARDA award up to $344.8 million referenced but no current revenue or earnings impact

Risk Factors

  • Efficacy may not replicate in the larger main cohort
  • Complete study data not expected until 2027, creating a long wait for a pivotal catalyst
  • Competition from approved mRNA and other COVID vaccines
  • Reliance on BARDA funding which could be modified or terminated

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001437749-26-022876
Exhibit: ex_985231.htm0001437749-26-022876
Document: 0001437749-26-022876-index-headers.html0001437749-26-022876
Document: 0001437749-26-022876-index.html0001437749-26-022876
Document: 0001437749-26-022876.txt0001437749-26-022876
21 reports for VXRT
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +37.66%May 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VXRT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.4800 $0.5000▲ +4.17%▲ +0.79%$0.4370 (−8.96%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5500 $0.6000▲ +9.09%▲ +5.93%$0.4370 (−20.55%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.6200 $0.5900▼ −4.84%▼ −5.69%$0.4370 (−29.52%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.6400 $0.5490▼ −14.22%▼ −14.52%$0.4370 (−31.72%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6400 $0.5200▼ −18.75%▼ −18.34%$0.4370 (−31.72%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5700 $0.4501▼ −21.04%▼ −20.78%$0.4370 (−23.33%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5700 $0.4501▼ −21.04%▼ −20.78%$0.4370 (−23.33%)
Jun 26, 2026
14w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.5700 $0.4501▼ −21.04%▼ −20.78%$0.4370 (−23.33%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.5600 $0.5300▼ −5.36%▼ −6.21%$0.4370 (−21.96%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5800 $0.5502▼ −5.14%▼ −6.53%$0.4370 (−24.66%)
Showing 10 of 21

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 41m)

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