424B5 ·Filed May 11, 2026

VVX

V2X, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0001104659-26-058322
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The full exit by AIP removes a known overhang but signals a lack of sponsor conviction at current levels. The timing — immediately after Q1 earnings — suggests the sponsor used the earnings update as a liquidity window. Watch for potential follow-on selling by remaining insiders (AIP still holds ~1.2% post-offering per the filing) and monitor Q2 order flow for any guidance-related weakness that may have prompted the exit. The 30-day lock-up on V2X prevents further issuance near-term.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
VVX ▲ +12.66% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -12.66% · α vs SPY -8.27% · entry $69.18 → $77.94
Entry anchored
May 8, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.39%
call -1.39% · α -1.52%
$70.14
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+3.80%
call -3.80% · α -3.89%
$71.81
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+23.62%
call -23.62% · α -23.92%
$85.52
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+12.66%
call -12.66% · α -8.27%
$77.94
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC (an affiliate of American Industrial Partners) is selling its entire 2,004,569-share stake in V2X via an underwritten secondary offering at $74.35/share, raising ~$149M in gross proceeds for the selling shareholder. V2X receives no proceeds. The offering comes just 7 days after V2X reported Q1 2026 earnings and issued FY2026 guidance, suggesting the exit was timed to follow a quarterly update. The 6.4% block being sold represents the full remaining AIP position, removing overhang but signaling a definitive exit by a major pre-IPO sponsor.

Key Facts

  • Secondary offering of 2,004,569 shares by Vertex Aerospace Holdco LLC (AIP affiliate) at $74.35/share
  • Total gross proceeds to selling shareholder: $149,039,705.15
  • Underwriter: Morgan Stanley; underwriting discount: $0.44/share ($882,010.36 total)
  • V2X receives zero proceeds from the offering
  • Selling shareholder will own 0 shares post-offering (full exit of 6.4% stake)
  • Offering priced at a ~1.4% discount to last sale of $75.40 on May 7, 2026
  • Filed 7 days after Q1 2026 earnings release (May 4, 2026) which included FY2026 guidance
  • Outstanding shares: 31,310,209 as of April 3, 2026
  • 30-day lock-up on V2X from issuing additional shares
  • Offering expected to close on or about May 11, 2026

Financial Impact

Secondary sale of $149M block at ~6.4% of outstanding shares; no dilution to V2X but significant supply overhang removed

dilutionsupplyownership structure

Risk Factors

  • Full sponsor exit may signal lack of confidence in near-term outlook
  • Offering priced at a discount to market, creating immediate paper loss for new buyers
  • Potential overhang from remaining ~1.2% AIP stake (375,420 shares held by Lightship Capital not sold in this offering)
  • Earnings-driven timing raises questions about Q1 results and FY2026 guidance quality

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Facilities Support Management Services
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-058322
Document: tm2614073d1_ex-filingfees.htm0001104659-26-058322
Document: 0001104659-26-058322-index-headers.html0001104659-26-058322
Document: 0001104659-26-058322-index.html0001104659-26-058322
Document: 0001104659-26-058322.txt0001104659-26-058322
5 reports for VVX
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for VVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$81.46 $75.27▲ +7.60%▲ +6.61%$69.78 (+14.34%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$80.54 $71.91▼ −10.72%▼ −9.66%$69.78 (−13.36%)
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 3/10
$90.81 $74.99▼ −17.42%▼ −19.20%$69.78 (−23.16%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$69.18 $85.52▼ −23.62%▼ −23.92%$69.78 (−0.87%)
Mar 19, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.01 $66.70▼ −1.93%▼ −9.55%$69.78 (+2.60%)
Showing 5 of 5

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