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8-K ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

VSTM

Verastem, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed12d 8h ago SEC0001104659-26-115687
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The VS-7375 data across PDAC, NSCLC, and CRC are among the strongest reported for any KRAS G12D inhibitor, with 900mg QD showing best-in-class efficacy and tolerability. The FDA-aligned Phase 3 PDAC trial opening by year-end, termination of the ATM (removing dilution risk), and a well-capitalized balance sheet ($172.8M cash) create a clean catalyst path. Watch for: (1) mature CRC 900mg combo data by year-end, (2) FDA meeting for NSCLC/CRC Phase 3 designs, (3) initial Phase 2 PDAC data in Q2 2027.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
VSTM ▲ +19.46% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +19.46% · α vs SPY +19.00% · entry $7.71 → $9.21
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+7 +21.86% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+19.71%
call +19.71% · α +19.43%
$9.23
settled 11d ago
T+5d
+19.46%
call +19.46% · α +19.00%
$9.21
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Verastem reported preliminary Q3 2026 net product revenue of ~$23.9-24.1M (vs $11.2M YoY), announced CEO Dan Paterson's planned retirement effective Jan 1, 2027 with Michael Bailey as successor, and disclosed compelling Phase 1/2 data for VS-7375 showing 41% confirmed ORR in 2L+ PDAC, 43% in 2L+ NSCLC, and FDA alignment on a Phase 3 1L mPDAC trial. The company also terminated its ATM prospectus (no shares sold) and received FDA priority review for its Blister Pack NDA. The combination of strong commercial growth, best-in-class clinical data, and a clean capital structure is highly bullish.

Key Facts

  • Preliminary Q3 2026 net product revenue estimated at $23.9-24.1M, more than doubling from $11.2M in Q3 2025
  • Cash and investments of $172.8M as of Sep 30, 2026, up from $137.7M a year earlier
  • VS-7375 900mg QD monotherapy achieved 41% confirmed ORR (9/22) in 2L+ PDAC, including 2 complete responses; 50% confirmed ORR in 2L PDAC (4/8)
  • VS-7375 600mg QD achieved 43% confirmed ORR (10/23) in 2L+ NSCLC; 75% ORR (6/8) in 1L NSCLC with triplet SOC
  • FDA alignment reached on Phase 3 TARGET-D 301 trial design in 1L mPDAC; trial expected to open by year-end 2026
  • CEO Dan Paterson to retire Jan 1, 2027; Michael Bailey (former AVEO CEO) appointed as successor; Paterson remains on board and as advisor
  • ATM prospectus terminated; no shares sold under the facility — removes future dilution overhang
  • FDA accepted Blister Pack NDA for priority review, expected in Q1 2027
  • VS-7375 safety profile at 900mg: 2% AE-related discontinuation rate, 97% relative dose intensity, no Grade 4/5 TRAEs

Financial Impact

Q3 2026 net product revenue ~$23.9-24.1M, more than double Q3 2025's $11.2M; cash position $172.8M vs $137.7M YoY

revenuecash positiondilution risk

Risk Factors

  • Phase 3 PDAC trial (TARGET-D 301) may fail to confirm Phase 1/2 efficacy signals
  • Competition from other KRAS G12D inhibitors (daraxonrasib, zoldonrasib, INCB161734) could erode market opportunity
  • CEO transition creates execution risk during critical Phase 3 launch period
  • Preliminary Q3 revenue is unaudited and subject to revision
  • Reliance on single drug (VS-7375) for pipeline value; AVMAPKI/FAKZYNJA commercial trajectory still early

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-115687
Document: tm2627537d4_8k.htm0001104659-26-115687
Document: tm2627537d4_ex99-2.htm0001104659-26-115687
Document: tm2627537d4_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-115687
Document: 0001104659-26-115687-index-headers.html0001104659-26-115687
Document: 0001104659-26-115687-index.html0001104659-26-115687
Document: 0001104659-26-115687.txt0001104659-26-115687
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-115687
12 reports for VSTM
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +97.07%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VSTM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.23awaiting T+60—$9.92 (−7.48%)
Oct 14, 2026
11d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.23awaiting T+60—$9.92 (−7.48%)
Oct 14, 2026
11d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.23awaiting T+60—$9.92 (−7.48%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.71awaiting T+60—$9.92 (+28.67%)
Oct 2, 2026
23d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.00awaiting T+60—$9.92 (−24.01%)
Jun 23, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.85 $7.55▲ +96.10%▲ +93.27%$9.92 (+157.68%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.17 $7.32▲ +75.54%▲ +72.39%$9.92 (+137.90%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$4.10 $8.08▲ +97.07%▲ +93.81%$9.92 (+141.97%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.94 $8.20▲ +108.12%▲ +103.73%$9.92 (+151.79%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.29 $6.89▲ +60.61%▲ +58.87%$9.92 (+131.25%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Oct 14, 2026