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424B5 ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

VSTM

Verastem, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed12d 11h ago SEC0001104659-26-115875
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the final offering size and pricing when announced — the degree of dilution will determine near-term price pressure. The strong clinical data and revenue growth provide fundamental support, but the capital raise signals cash burn continues. Watch for the Q3 10-Q filing for finalized financials.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
VSTM ▲ +8.99% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -8.99% · α vs SPY -10.01% · entry $9.23 → $10.06
Next anchor: T+20d in 15d
Latest observation: T+6 -4.13% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.28%
call +6.28% · α +5.18%
$8.65
settled 12d ago
T+5d
+8.99%
call -8.99% · α -10.01%
$10.06
settled 6d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 15d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Verastem is conducting a dilutive underwritten public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants, with pricing and size still TBD. The filing follows a strong preliminary Q3 2026 earnings update (net product revenue estimated at $23.9M-$24.1M, up from $11.2M YoY) and positive VS-7375 clinical data, but the capital raise itself creates immediate dilution for existing shareholders. Proceeds will fund continued clinical development of VS-7375 and general corporate purposes.

Key Facts

  • Offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants; pricing and share count are undisclosed (placeholder values).
  • Last reported sale price on October 13, 2026 was $7.45 per share.
  • Net tangible book value as of June 30, 2026 was $34.1 million ($0.38 per share).
  • Preliminary Q3 2026 net product revenue estimated at $23.9M-$24.1M (vs $11.2M in Q3 2025).
  • Cash, cash equivalents and investments as of September 30, 2026 estimated at $172.8 million (vs $137.7 million at September 30, 2025).
  • CEO transition: Daniel Paterson retiring effective January 1, 2027; Michael Bailey to become CEO.
  • FDA accepted Blister Pack NDA for priority review on October 7, 2026.
  • VS-7375 showed 41% confirmed ORR in 2L+ PDAC and 43% confirmed ORR in 2L+ NSCLC at data cutoff October 7, 2026.
  • Lock-up agreements with underwriters for 60 days post-offering for executive officers and directors.

Financial Impact

Undisclosed offering size; immediate dilution to existing shareholders as offering price will be above net tangible book value of $0.38 per share. Preliminary Q3 revenue of ~$24M and cash of $172.8M provide context for capital need.

dilutionshare countcash position

Risk Factors

  • Immediate and substantial dilution to existing shareholders from the offering.
  • Offering price and size are undisclosed — uncertainty about total capital raised and per-share impact.
  • Preliminary financial results are unaudited and subject to revision.
  • CEO transition adds leadership uncertainty through early 2027.
  • Biotech sector risk: clinical-stage pipeline (VS-7375) still in Phase 1/2; no guarantee of eventual approval or commercial success.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-115875
Document: 0001104659-26-115875-index-headers.html0001104659-26-115875
Document: 0001104659-26-115875-index.html0001104659-26-115875
Document: 0001104659-26-115875.txt0001104659-26-115875
12 reports for VSTM
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +97.07%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VSTM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.23awaiting T+60—$10.00 (−8.34%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.23awaiting T+60—$10.00 (−8.34%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.23awaiting T+60—$10.00 (−8.34%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.71awaiting T+60—$10.00 (+29.70%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$8.00awaiting T+60—$10.00 (−25.00%)
Jun 23, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.85 $7.55▲ +96.10%▲ +93.27%$10.00 (+159.74%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.17 $7.32▲ +75.54%▲ +72.39%$10.00 (+139.81%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$4.10 $8.08▲ +97.07%▲ +93.81%$10.00 (+143.90%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.94 $8.20▲ +108.12%▲ +103.73%$10.00 (+153.81%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.29 $6.89▲ +60.61%▲ +58.87%$10.00 (+133.10%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Oct 14, 2026