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8-K ·Filed Sep 28, 2026

VLY

VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORP
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed29d 12h ago SEC0001193125-26-403391
8-K context-dependent: Items 3.02, 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor the deposit migration from Bluevine's partner bank to Valley within 180 days post-close, as successful onboarding of the $2.1B low-cost deposits is critical to the deal's funding benefit. Also track integration of Bluevine's AI/tech talent and any impact on Valley's 2027 expense run-rate.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
VLY ▲ +9.94% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +9.94% · α vs SPY +9.97% · entry $12.78 → $14.05
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.47%
call -0.47% · α -0.29%
$12.72
settled 29d ago
T+5d
-0.16%
call -0.16% · α -1.36%
$12.76
settled 23d ago
T+20d
+9.94%
call +9.94% · α +9.97%
$14.05
settled yesterday
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Valley National Bancorp announced the acquisition of Bluevine Inc. for $340 million in aggregate consideration, consisting of approximately $255 million in cash and 6.3 million shares of Valley common stock. The deal is expected to close in early 2027, is projected to be ~8% accretive to 2028 EPS, and will add $2.1 billion in low-cost digital deposits and ~180 R&D professionals to accelerate Valley's digital and AI strategy.

Key Facts

  • Valley to acquire Bluevine for $340 million total consideration (~75% cash, ~25% stock).
  • Consideration includes ~$255 million cash and ~6.3 million shares of Valley common stock.
  • Acquisition expected to close in early 1Q 2027, subject to HSR approval and customary conditions.
  • Bluevine brings $2.1 billion of active core deposits at a 1.44% cost (84 bps below Valley's 2.28% deposit cost).
  • Bluevine serves ~175,000 active SMB customers with platform-generated deposits growing at ~35% CAGR (2023-1H26).
  • Transaction expected to be ~8% accretive to 2028E EPS, with ~5% TBV dilution at close and ~3-year TBV earn-back.
  • Pro forma CET1 ratio estimated at 10.3%+ at close (inclusive of pending Providence Financial acquisition).
  • Bluevine's co-founders (CEO Eyal Lifshitz and CTO Nir Klar) will remain with Valley post-close.
  • ~$50 million run-rate pre-tax cost savings expected, with 50% phase-in for 2027.
  • Durbin Amendment impact estimated at ~$20 million annual pre-tax dis-synergy.
  • Goodwill creation of ~$265 million; non-goodwill intangibles of ~$30 million.
  • Transaction does not require Valley shareholder approval or bank regulatory approval.

Financial Impact

$340 million total deal value; ~8% EPS accretion by 2028E; ~5% TBV dilution at close; ~$50 million annual pre-tax cost savings; ~$20 million annual Durbin-related dis-synergy.

revenueepstangible book valuedeposit costCET1 ratioloan-to-deposit ratio

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk: migrating $2.1B in deposits from Bluevine's partner bank to Valley within 180 days post-close.
  • Durbin Amendment dis-synergy of ~$20 million annual pre-tax may pressure earnings.
  • Pro forma CET1 of 10.3%+ is inclusive of another pending acquisition (Providence Financial), adding execution complexity.
  • ~5% TBV dilution at close with ~3-year earn-back period may weigh on near-term book value metrics.
  • Customer retention risk: Bluevine's digital-native SMB customers may not fully adopt Valley's broader product suite.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-403391
Document: d31493dex992.htm0001193125-26-403391
Document: d31493dex991.htm0001193125-26-403391
Document: 0001193125-26-403391-index-headers.html0001193125-26-403391
Document: 0001193125-26-403391-index.html0001193125-26-403391
Document: 0001193125-26-403391.txt0001193125-26-403391
11 reports for VLY
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

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Reports for VLY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.81awaiting T+20—$14.05 (+1.74%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$13.81awaiting T+20—$14.05 (+1.74%)
Oct 21, 2026
6d ago
S-4
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.02awaiting T+20—$14.05 (+7.91%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.78 $14.05▲ +9.94%▲ +9.97%$14.05 (+9.94%)
Sep 28, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.78 $14.05▲ +9.94%▲ +9.97%$14.05 (+9.94%)
Aug 25, 2026
9w ago
425 / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.10 $12.87▼ −8.72%▼ −9.70%$14.05 (−0.35%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$14.45 $14.12▼ −2.28%▼ −5.59%$14.05 (−2.77%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$13.77 $13.36▼ −2.98%▼ −7.61%$14.05 (+2.03%)
Apr 7, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$12.96 $13.65▲ +5.32%▼ −3.22%$14.05 (+8.41%)
Feb 25, 2026
34w ago
8-K/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.37 $12.19▼ −8.83%▼ −2.41%$14.05 (+5.09%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (13h 9m)

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Report published Sep 28, 2026