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8-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

VEL

Velocity Financial, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-334991
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and declining net income, despite revenue growth, suggest margin compression and rising costs are pressuring profitability. Monitor the upcoming earnings call for commentary on loan production trends, expense management, and the outlook for net interest margin. The stock may face near-term selling pressure given the miss vs consensus.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
VEL ▲ +1.04% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -1.04% · α vs SPY -0.44% · entry $18.21 → $18.40
Next anchor: T+60d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+55 +9.95% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.37%
call -1.37% · α -0.76%
$18.46
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.60%
call +0.60% · α +1.82%
$18.10
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+1.04%
call -1.04% · α -0.44%
$18.40
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
tomorrow

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Velocity Financial reported Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.64, a 5.0% miss vs the $0.67 consensus estimate, and net income declined 3.2% YoY to $25.2M. While pretax income grew 3.9% and net revenue rose 10.7% YoY, the EPS miss and declining net income due to a higher effective tax rate create a bearish tone for the quarter. The loan portfolio grew 19.2% YoY to $7.0B, but loan production fell 7.3% YoY and portfolio NIM compressed 16 bps, signaling potential headwinds to growth.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.64
est $0.67 · -4.5%
Revenue
$95.0M
est $54.3M · +74.9% · +10.7% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $0.64 missed consensus of $0.67 by 4.5%
  • Net income of $25.2M decreased 3.2% from $26.0M in Q2 2025
  • Pretax income of $35.2M increased 3.9% YoY
  • Net revenue of $95.0M increased 10.7% YoY
  • Loan portfolio grew 19.2% YoY to $7.0B in UPB
  • Loan production of $672.6M decreased 7.3% from $725.4M in Q2 2025
  • Portfolio NIM decreased 16 bps to 3.66% from 3.82% in Q2 2025
  • Total operating expenses increased 15.1% YoY to $59.8M
  • Diluted book value per share increased to $18.43 from $15.62 YoY
  • NPL ratio improved to 9.6% from 10.3% YoY

Financial Impact

EPS miss of ~$0.03 vs consensus; net income decline of $0.8M YoY

epsnet incomeloan productionnet interest margin

Risk Factors

  • Rising operating expenses outpacing revenue growth
  • Declining loan production volume (-7.3% YoY) could slow future portfolio growth
  • Compression in portfolio NIM (-16 bps YoY) signals potential yield pressure
  • Higher effective tax rate reducing net income growth

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
71% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-334991
Document: vel-20260805.htm0001193125-26-334991
Document: 0001193125-26-334991-index-headers.html0001193125-26-334991
Document: 0001193125-26-334991-index.html0001193125-26-334991
Document: 0001193125-26-334991.txt0001193125-26-334991
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-334991
10 reports for VEL
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for VEL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$18.08 $18.40▲ +1.77%▲ +1.50%$15.45 (−14.55%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$18.01 $18.17▼ −0.89%▼ −1.33%$15.45 (+14.21%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$18.21 $18.10▼ −0.60%▼ −1.82%$15.45 (−15.16%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$18.21 $18.10▲ +0.60%▲ +1.82%$15.45 (+15.16%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$17.56 $17.54▼ −0.11%▼ −0.79%$15.45 (−12.02%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.29 $17.36▼ −5.08%▼ −6.59%$15.45 (−15.53%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.29 $17.36▼ −5.08%▼ −6.59%$15.45 (−15.53%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.94 $19.51▼ −2.16%▼ −3.07%$15.45 (−22.52%)
Apr 10, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.14 $19.90▲ +3.97%▼ −0.53%$15.45 (−19.28%)
Mar 13, 2026
32w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$17.41 $17.26▼ −0.86%▲ +1.26%$15.45 (−11.26%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Aug 5, 2026