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8-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

VEL

Velocity Financial, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-334993
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor the next 10-Q for continued NIM compression and loan production trends. The portfolio growth is offsetting some weakness, but the declining earnings and NIM warrant caution. Watch for the impact of the VCC 2026-3 securitization completed in July on future funding costs.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
VEL ▲ +1.04% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +1.04% · α vs SPY +0.44% · entry $18.21 → $18.40
Next anchor: T+60d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+55 -9.95% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.37%
call +1.37% · α +0.76%
$18.46
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.60%
call -0.60% · α -1.82%
$18.10
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+1.04%
call +1.04% · α +0.44%
$18.40
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
tomorrow

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Velocity Financial posted its Q2 2026 earnings presentation via 8-K. GAAP net income fell 3.2% YoY to $25.2M and diluted EPS declined to $0.64 from $0.69. Core net income rose 1.4% to $27.9M, but core diluted EPS fell to $0.71. Loan production dropped 7.3% YoY to $672.6M, though the total loan portfolio grew 19.2% to $7.0B UPB. Portfolio NIM contracted 16 bps to 3.66%. The mixed results show a growing portfolio but declining profitability and production.

Key Facts

  • GAAP net income of $25.2 million, a 3.2% decrease from $26.0 million for 2Q25.
  • Diluted EPS of $0.64, a decrease of $0.05 from $0.69 per share for 2Q25.
  • Core net income of $27.9 million, an increase of 1.4% from $27.5 million for 2Q25.
  • Core diluted EPS of $0.71, a decrease of $0.02 from $0.73 per share for 2Q25.
  • Loan production for 2Q26 totaled $672.6 million, down 7.3% from $725.4 million for 2Q25.
  • Total loan portfolio was $7.0 billion in UPB as of June 30, 2026, an increase of 19.2% from $5.9 billion as of June 30, 2025.
  • Portfolio NIM for 2Q26 was 3.66%, a decrease of 16 bps from 3.82% for 2Q25.
  • Nonperforming loans (NPL) as a % of HFI loans were 9.6% as of June 30, 2026, down from 10.3% as of June 30, 2025.
  • Diluted book value per share of $18.43 as of June 30, 2026, up from $15.62 as of June 30, 2025.
  • Liquidity of $240.0 million, consisting of $76.1 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and $163.9 million in available borrowings from unpledged loans.

Financial Impact

GAAP net income down $0.8M YoY; loan production down $52.8M YoY; portfolio UPB up $1.1B YoY

revenueepsnet incomeloan productionnet interest margin

Risk Factors

  • Continued net interest margin compression below 3.5% target
  • Declining loan production volume impacting future earnings growth
  • Rising REO portfolio balance ($142.1M vs $93.4M YoY) and associated losses

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
71% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-334993
Document: vel-ex99.htm0001193125-26-334993
Document: 0001193125-26-334993-index-headers.html0001193125-26-334993
Document: 0001193125-26-334993-index.html0001193125-26-334993
Document: 0001193125-26-334993.txt0001193125-26-334993
10 reports for VEL
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+5 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+5▲ +0.60%Aug 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VEL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$18.08 $18.40▲ +1.77%▲ +1.50%$15.43 (−14.66%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$18.01 $18.17▼ −0.89%▼ −1.33%$15.43 (+14.33%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$18.21 $18.10▼ −0.60%▼ −1.82%$15.43 (−15.27%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$18.21 $18.10▲ +0.60%▲ +1.82%$15.43 (+15.27%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$17.56 $17.54▼ −0.11%▼ −0.79%$15.43 (−12.13%)
May 7, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$18.29 $17.36▼ −5.08%▼ −6.59%$15.43 (−15.64%)
May 6, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.29 $17.36▼ −5.08%▼ −6.59%$15.43 (−15.64%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.94 $19.51▼ −2.16%▼ −3.07%$15.43 (−22.62%)
Apr 10, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.14 $19.90▲ +3.97%▼ −0.53%$15.43 (−19.38%)
Mar 13, 2026
32w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$17.41 $17.26▼ −0.86%▲ +1.26%$15.43 (−11.37%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Aug 5, 2026