6-K ·Filed Jun 9, 2026

VALE

Vale S.A.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001292814-26-003387
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The update is a non-material forward-looking statement. Monitor commodity price trends and VBM operational updates for any deviation from the assumed price estimates. No immediate trading action warranted.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
VALE ▲ +3.88% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +3.88% · α vs SPY +0.06% · entry $15.14 → $15.73
Entry anchored
Jun 8, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.39%
call -1.39% · α +0.19%
$14.93
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+5.68%
call +5.68% · α +3.27%
$16.00
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-2.97%
call -2.97% · α -4.42%
$14.69
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+3.88%
call +3.88% · α +0.06%
$15.73
settled 29d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vale updated its indicative long-term guidance for Vale Base Metals (VBM) EBITDA contribution to ~28% of consolidated EBITDA, based on 2026 average analyst commodity price estimates. The update is non-material and forward-looking.

Key Facts

  • VBM long-term EBITDA contribution estimate raised to ~28% of consolidated EBITDA
  • Based on 2026 average sell-side analyst estimates for copper, nickel, gold
  • All other estimates from Reference Form remain unchanged

Financial Impact

VBM could contribute roughly 28% of consolidated EBITDA in the long term, but this is a forward-looking estimate without concrete financial figures.

ebitdaguidance

Risk Factors

  • Commodity price volatility could materially affect the estimate
  • Execution and operational risks at Vale Base Metals

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
65% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-003387
Document: 0001292814-26-003387-index-headers.html0001292814-26-003387
Document: 0001292814-26-003387-index.html0001292814-26-003387
Document: 0001292814-26-003387.txt0001292814-26-003387
21 reports for VALE
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +6.40%Jul 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VALE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.56 $14.61▼ −6.11%▼ −5.44%$13.40 (−13.85%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.72 $13.80▼ −6.25%▼ −7.46%$13.40 (−8.93%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.06 $14.72▼ −2.28%▼ −5.80%$13.40 (−10.99%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.06 $14.72▼ −2.28%▼ −5.80%$13.40 (−10.99%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.06 $14.72▼ −2.28%▼ −5.80%$13.40 (−10.99%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.78 $15.06▲ +1.89%▲ +0.82%$13.40 (−9.30%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.85 $14.65▼ −1.35%▲ +1.05%$13.40 (−9.73%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.85 $14.65▼ −1.35%▲ +1.05%$13.40 (−9.73%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$14.85 $14.65▲ +1.35%▼ −1.05%$13.40 (+9.73%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.25 $14.78▲ +3.72%▲ +4.95%$13.40 (−5.93%)
Showing 10 of 21

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