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8-K ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

VAL

Valaris Ltd
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed25d 15h ago SEC0001140361-26-038106
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

With the HSR clearance secured, focus shifts to remaining conditions (shareholder votes, other regulatory approvals). Monitor the joint definitive proxy statement for voting timelines and any potential dissident shareholder activity.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
VAL ▲ +5.53% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.53% · α vs SPY +4.23% · entry $79.56 → $83.96
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 +20.89% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 30, 04:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-1.47%
call -1.47% · α -2.21%
$78.39
settled 25d ago
T+5d
+5.53%
call +5.53% · α +4.23%
$83.96
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Valaris and Transocean received U.S. DOJ antitrust clearance for their pending business combination, with the HSR Act waiting period expired. The companies anticipate closing the all-stock acquisition in Q4 2026, removing a key regulatory hurdle.

Key Facts

  • DOJ closed its HSR Act investigation on September 30, 2026, and the waiting period has expired.
  • Transocean will acquire all Valaris shares in exchange for 15.235 Transocean shares per Valaris share.
  • Closing is anticipated in Q4 2026, subject to remaining conditions.

Financial Impact

Removal of U.S. antitrust clearance risk for a transformative all-stock merger; deal value not disclosed in this filing.

deal completion probabilityregulatory risk

Risk Factors

  • Shareholder approval may not be obtained.
  • Other regulatory approvals or closing conditions may not be satisfied or waived.
  • Integration risks post-close could delay synergies.

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-038106
Document: 0001140361-26-038106-index-headers.html0001140361-26-038106
Document: 0001140361-26-038106-index.html0001140361-26-038106
Document: 0001140361-26-038106.txt0001140361-26-038106
10 reports for VAL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +12.88%Jul 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VAL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
2d ago
DEFA14A / 8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$92.63awaiting T+5—$97.33 (+5.07%)
Oct 14, 2026
11d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$84.73 $91.72▲ +8.25%▲ +7.80%$97.33 (+14.87%)
Oct 14, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$84.73 $91.72▲ +8.25%▲ +7.80%$97.33 (+14.87%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$84.73 $91.72▲ +8.25%▲ +7.80%$97.33 (+14.87%)
Sep 30, 2026
25d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$79.56 $83.96▲ +5.53%▲ +4.23%$97.33 (+22.34%)
Sep 30, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$79.56 $83.96▲ +5.53%▲ +4.23%$97.33 (+22.34%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$72.46 $74.59▲ +2.94%▲ +2.68%$97.33 (+34.32%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$72.46 $74.59▲ +2.94%▲ +2.68%$97.33 (+34.32%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+5——
May 4, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
—awaiting T+5——
Showing 10 of 10

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