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8-K ·Filed Oct 14, 2026

VAL

Valaris Ltd
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed11d 20h ago SEC0001140361-26-039551
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

With all regulatory conditions now satisfied, focus shifts to remaining closing conditions and shareholder approval. Monitor for the final CADE publication and any updates on the shareholder vote timeline.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
VAL ▲ +8.25% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +8.25% · α vs SPY +7.80% · entry $84.73 → $91.72
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+7 +11.69% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 14, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.16%
call -1.16% · α -1.44%
$83.75
settled 11d ago
T+5d
+8.25%
call +8.25% · α +7.80%
$91.72
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Valaris disclosed that Brazilian competition authority CADE cleared the pending Transocean acquisition without restrictions. The decision is expected to become final after a 15-day waiting period, satisfying all remaining regulatory conditions for closing in Q4 2026.

Key Facts

  • CADE (Brazilian competition authority) issued a decision on October 13, 2026, allowing the Transocean-Valaris business combination without restrictions.
  • The decision is expected to be published in Brazil's Official Journal on October 15 or 16, 2026, triggering a 15-day waiting period before it becomes final.
  • Once CADE's decision is final, all regulatory approval conditions to closing will be satisfied.
  • Valaris and Transocean anticipate closing the business combination in Q4 2026.
  • The deal consideration is 15.235 Transocean shares per Valaris share.

Financial Impact

Removal of the last major regulatory hurdle for a transformative acquisition; deal value not specified in filing.

Risk Factors

  • Closing remains subject to satisfaction or waiver of remaining conditions in the Business Combination Agreement.
  • Shareholder approval is still required; a negative vote could derail the deal.
  • Potential litigation or other unforeseen events could delay or prevent closing.

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-039551
Document: 0001140361-26-039551-index-headers.html0001140361-26-039551
Document: 0001140361-26-039551-index.html0001140361-26-039551
Document: 0001140361-26-039551.txt0001140361-26-039551
10 reports for VAL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +12.88%Jul 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for VAL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
2d ago
DEFA14A / 8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$92.63awaiting T+5—$97.33 (+5.07%)
Oct 14, 2026
11d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$84.73 $91.72▲ +8.25%▲ +7.80%$97.33 (+14.87%)
Oct 14, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$84.73 $91.72▲ +8.25%▲ +7.80%$97.33 (+14.87%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$84.73 $91.72▲ +8.25%▲ +7.80%$97.33 (+14.87%)
Sep 30, 2026
25d ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$79.56 $83.96▲ +5.53%▲ +4.23%$97.33 (+22.34%)
Sep 30, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$79.56 $83.96▲ +5.53%▲ +4.23%$97.33 (+22.34%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$72.46 $74.59▲ +2.94%▲ +2.68%$97.33 (+34.32%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$72.46 $74.59▲ +2.94%▲ +2.68%$97.33 (+34.32%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+5——
May 4, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
—awaiting T+5——
Showing 10 of 10

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Market Closed — Opens in 21m

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Report published Oct 14, 2026