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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 13, 2026

UPB

Upstream Bio
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and widening losses are negative, but the stock's movement will hinge on Phase 3 catalyst timing and any data readouts at upcoming conferences (ATS May 15-20). Monitor for FDA meeting outcomes mid-2026 and potential partnership or financing needs given cash burn trajectory.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final: all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
UPB ▼ -22.54% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +22.54% · α vs SPY +26.98% · entry $9.36 → $7.25
Entry = T+0 close
May 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.09%
call +6.09% · α +6.87%
$8.79
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-14.21%
call +14.21% · α +13.05%
$8.03
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-31.84%
call +31.84% · α +31.22%
$6.38
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-22.54%
call +22.54% · α +26.98%
$7.25
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Upstream Bio reported Q1 2026 EPS of -$0.79, missing consensus of -$0.75 by 5.3%, with net loss widening to $40.6M from $27.3M a year ago. The company is advancing Phase 3 plans for verekitug in severe asthma and CRSwNP with FDA meetings expected mid-2026 and Phase 3 initiations in Q1 2027, while capping enrollment in the COPD trial with data now expected in H2 2027. Cash of $294.6M funds operations through 2027, but the EPS miss and widening losses weigh on near-term sentiment.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.79
est −$0.75 · -5.3%
Revenue
$1.0M
est $347.0K · +198.0% · +82.7% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS -$0.79 vs consensus -$0.75 (5.3% miss)
  • Net loss widened to $40.6M from $27.3M in Q1 2025
  • Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments $294.6M as of March 31, 2026
  • Phase 2 VENTURE COPD trial enrollment capped; data now expected H2 2027 (delayed from prior timeline)
  • Phase 3 initiations in severe asthma and CRSwNP expected Q1 2027
  • Research and development expenses increased 42% to $36.6M

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.04 per share; net loss increased $13.3M YoY

epsnet lossoperating expenses

Risk Factors

  • Clinical trial failure in Phase 3 severe asthma or CRSwNP
  • Cash burn rate may require dilutive financing before Phase 3 data
  • COPD trial delay to H2 2027 pushes back a key catalyst

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3293845
11 reports for UPB
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +26.07%Mar 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UPB, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.55awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$2.79 (−57.40%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.44awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$2.79 (−62.50%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.25awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$2.79 (−55.36%)
Jun 14, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.10 $5.96▼ −2.30%▼ −3.30%$2.79 (−54.26%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.51 $6.91▼ −18.80%▼ −23.65%$2.79 (−67.22%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.36 $7.25▲ +22.54%▲ +26.98%$2.79 (+70.19%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.99 $7.14▼ −28.53%▼ −34.67%$2.79 (−72.07%)
Mar 26, 2026
30w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.67 $6.41▲ +26.07%▲ +42.13%$2.79 (+67.82%)
Mar 26, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.79 $6.40▼ −34.68%▼ −48.63%$2.79 (−71.50%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.61 $6.45▼ −32.88%▼ −43.37%$2.79 (−70.97%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

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Report published May 13, 2026