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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 26, 2026

UPB

Upstream Bio
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed7mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor upcoming FDA interactions in 2026 that could shape Phase 3 trial design; watch for initiation of Phase 3 dosing in Q1 2027 as a key catalyst. Despite higher losses, robust cash runway reduces near-term dilution risk.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final: all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
UPB ▼ -34.68% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -34.68% · α vs SPY -48.63% · entry $9.79 → $6.40
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 26, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-11.44%
call -11.44% · α -9.76%
$8.67
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-2.96%
call -2.96% · α -4.60%
$9.50
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-5.01%
call -5.01% · α -15.67%
$9.30
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-34.68%
call -34.68% · α -48.63%
$6.40
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Upstream Bio reported Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results, highlighted by a strong cash position of $341.5 million and advancement of its Phase 2 programs for verekitug in severe asthma and CRSwNP. Positive top-line data from the Phase 2 VALIANT trial showed significant reductions in asthma exacerbations, supporting plans to initiate Phase 3 trials in both indications in Q1 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$668.0K
+9.0% YoY

Key Facts

  • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $341.5 million as of December 31, 2025, sufficient to fund operations through 2027.
  • Phase 2 VALIANT trial in severe asthma met primary endpoint with 56% reduction in annualized asthma exacerbation rate (AAER) at 100 mg every 12 weeks (p<0.0003).
  • Phase 2 VIBRANT trial in CRSwNP showed placebo-adjusted NPS reduction of -1.95 (p<0.0001) in WOCF analysis.
  • Research and development expenses increased to $40.2M in Q4 2025 from $21.8M in Q4 2024 due to clinical and manufacturing costs.
  • Net loss widened to $42.5M in Q4 2025 from $21.2M in Q4 2024.

Financial Impact

Increased R&D spend by $18.4M YoY in Q4, driven by verekitug development; net loss doubled to $42.5M despite strong cash reserves.

r_and_d_expensenet_losscash_position

Risk Factors

  • Clinical development risk: Phase 3 success not guaranteed despite positive Phase 2 data.
  • Increased burn rate may pressure cash runway if development timelines extend beyond 2027.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3262866
11 reports for UPB
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +31.84%May 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UPB, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.55awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$2.79 (−57.40%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.44awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$2.79 (−62.50%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.25awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$2.79 (−55.36%)
Jun 14, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$6.10 $5.96▼ −2.30%▼ −3.30%$2.79 (−54.26%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$8.51 $6.91▼ −18.80%▼ −23.65%$2.79 (−67.22%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.36 $7.25▲ +22.54%▲ +26.98%$2.79 (+70.19%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.99 $7.14▼ −28.53%▼ −34.67%$2.79 (−72.07%)
Mar 26, 2026
30w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.67 $6.41▲ +26.07%▲ +42.13%$2.79 (+67.82%)
Mar 26, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$9.79 $6.40▼ −34.68%▼ −48.63%$2.79 (−71.50%)
Mar 16, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.61 $6.45▼ −32.88%▼ −43.37%$2.79 (−70.97%)
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published Mar 26, 2026