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8-K ·Filed Jul 7, 2026

TVRD

Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-080930
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The TTI-109 Phase 1 data validates the prodrug strategy with improved tolerability, preserved PK, and clear PD target engagement in healthy volunteers. This de-risks the path toward Phase 2 initiation in dermatologic/GI indications (2027). Near-term catalyst: TTI-101 Phase 1b/2 HCC topline data in 2H 2026. Key risk: company requires additional funding to initiate new trials beyond current cash runway (Q4 2026).

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TVRD ▼ -59.68% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -59.68% · α vs SPY -61.67% · entry $3.10 → $1.25
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+61.29%
call +61.29% · α +61.60%
$5.00
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.55%
$3.10
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-34.84%
call -34.84% · α -36.17%
$2.02
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-59.68%
call -59.68% · α -61.67%
$1.25
settled 27d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tvardi Therapeutics disclosed Phase 1 results for its next-generation STAT3 inhibitor, TTI-109, a phosphate prodrug of TTI-101. The study confirmed rapid prodrug conversion with equivalent active-moiety exposure at molar-equivalent doses, improved GI tolerability (mean diarrhea duration 0.46 days vs 3.35 days for TTI-101), and pharmacodynamic evidence of target engagement with reductions of up to 60% in STAT3-driven Th17, Tfh, and B cell populations in healthy volunteers. The company plans to advance TTI-109 into dermatologic and GI indications, pending IND clearance and additional funding, with topline Phase 1b/2 HCC data for TTI-101 expected in 2H 2026.

Key Facts

  • TTI-109 is a phosphate prodrug of TTI-101 that rapidly converts to active TTI-101 within 2 hours, producing nearly identical plasma levels at molar-equivalent doses.
  • 21-day repeat dosing showed stable, dose-proportional PK with TTI-101 concentrations above the STAT3 IC50, and similar PK at Day 1 and 21.
  • Pharmacodynamic data showed placebo-adjusted reductions of up to 60% across STAT3-driven immune cell populations including Th17, Tfh, and B cell subsets in the MAD cohort.
  • At near-equivalent doses, mean diarrhea duration for TTI-109 500 mg BID was 0.47 days vs 3.35 days for TTI-101 400 mg BID, comparable to placebo at 1.19 days.
  • No serious adverse events, no dose-dependent TEAE pattern, and no clinically relevant changes in vital signs or ECGs were observed.
  • In the SAD study, exposures remained above the STAT3 IC50 at doses from 250 mg to 1000 mg; in MAD, exposures were sustained above IC50 at BID doses from 125 mg to 500 mg.
  • Cash and short-term investments of $25.0M as of March 31, 2026, expected to fund operations into Q4 2026.
  • Topline data from the ongoing Phase 1b/2 REVERT Liver Cancer trial of TTI-101 in HCC is expected in 2H 2026.
  • Company plans to initiate TTI-109 studies in dermatology/GI in 2027, subject to IND clearance and additional funding.

Financial Impact

Clinical-stage biotech: no revenue reported; cash runway through Q4 2026 with $25.0M; Phase 1b/2 HCC topline catalyst expected 2H 2026.

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway only to Q4 2026; additional capital required to fund TTI-109 Phase 2 trials.
  • Tvardi's ability to initiate dermatologic/GI programs is subject to IND clearance and additional funding.
  • Phase 1b/2 HCC topline data is preliminary with small sample sizes (n=21 for Cohort C, n=8 for B, n=12 for A) as of Aug 2024; cross-study comparisons are not robust.
  • Forward-looking statements regarding development timelines and potential advantages over competitors remain unvalidated.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-080930
Document: tm2619879d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-080930
Document: tm2619879d1_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-080930
Document: 0001104659-26-080930-index-headers.html0001104659-26-080930
Document: 0001104659-26-080930-index.html0001104659-26-080930
Document: 0001104659-26-080930.txt0001104659-26-080930
10 reports for TVRD
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +55.56%May 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TVRD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.86 $1.61▲ +13.44%▲ +12.91%$0.8651 (+53.49%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.90 $1.83▼ −3.68%▼ −1.69%$0.8651 (−54.47%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.90 $1.83▼ −3.68%▼ −1.69%$0.8651 (−54.47%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.10 $1.80▼ −14.29%▼ −18.25%$0.8651 (−58.80%)
Jul 7, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.10 $2.02▼ −34.84%▼ −36.17%$0.8651 (−72.09%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.96 $2.64▲ +33.33%▲ +32.48%$0.8651 (+78.15%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.95 $2.71▲ +31.39%▲ +30.78%$0.8651 (+78.10%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.18 $2.89▼ −30.86%▼ −30.88%$0.8651 (−79.30%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.10 $3.59▲ +15.81%▲ +11.78%$0.8651 (−72.09%)
Mar 31, 2026
29w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$3.00 $3.06▲ +2.00%▼ −7.72%$0.8651 (−71.16%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Jul 7, 2026