SecBot SecBot
6-K ·Filed Aug 18, 2026

THCH

TH International Ltd
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001213900-26-090969
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Tims China is burning cash with no near-term path to profitability. The USD 15.8M note from THRI provides a modest liquidity bridge but at senior secured terms that dilute common equity. Monitor for further store closures, covenant breaches on the convertible notes, and whether the company can halt the accelerating same-store sales decline (-17.8% system-wide). Any equity or debt raise in the near term will likely be highly dilutive given the weak stock price and negative equity position.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
THCH ▼ -2.17% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.17% · α vs SPY +1.18% · entry $1.38 → $1.35
Next anchor: T+60d in 15d
Latest observation: T+47 +14.09% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-7.97%
call +7.97% · α +8.18%
$1.27
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-9.78%
call +9.78% · α +9.58%
$1.25
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-2.17%
call +2.17% · α +1.18%
$1.35
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 15d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TH International (Tims China) reported Q2 2026 revenue of USD 40.3M, a 21.7% YoY decline, with system sales down 15.1%. Same-store sales fell 17.8% system-wide and 17.3% at company-owned stores. Adjusted Corporate EBITDA swung to a loss of USD 3.1M from a gain of USD 1.8M a year ago. The company secured a USD 15.8M tranche of convertible notes from its brand owner in July 2026, providing near-term liquidity but adding to an already distressed capital structure (total liabilities of USD 358.8M vs. equity deficit of USD 207.3M). Despite loyalty membership growth to 37.1M (up 41.7% YoY), the core business is contracting rapidly with no clear path to profitability.

Key Facts

  • Total revenues of RMB273.4M (USD40.3M), down 21.7% YoY from RMB349.0M.
  • System sales of RMB347.8M (USD51.3M), down 15.1% YoY.
  • Same-store sales growth for system-wide stores was -17.8% vs -4.8% in Q2 2025.
  • Company owned and operated store contribution margin fell to 5.7% from 9.6% YoY.
  • Operating loss widened to RMB58.1M (USD8.6M) from RMB47.8M YoY.
  • Net loss was RMB97.4M (USD14.4M) vs RMB75.9M YoY; adjusted net loss margin worsened to -20.0% from -11.4%.
  • Basic and diluted loss per share was RMB3.00 (USD0.44), worsening from RMB2.32.
  • Total cash and restricted cash was only RMB121.1M (USD17.8M) as of June 30, 2026.
  • Convertible notes at fair value stood at RMB1.18B (USD174.5M) vs total equity deficit of RMB1.41B.
  • Issued an initial USD15.8M tranche of additional senior secured convertible notes to THRI in July 2026.
  • Bank borrowings increased to RMB448.4M (USD66.1M) from RMB395.1M at Dec 31, 2025.
  • Net store count was virtually flat at 1,028 (net +2), with 15 new MTO stores and 13 non-MTO closures.
  • Orders dropped 20.7% YoY from 10.5M to 8.3M; delivery orders fell 11.9%.

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 21.7%, operating loss widened by 21.6%, and adjusted EBITDA swung to a loss of RMB21.0M. Cash position remains precarious at USD 17.8M against USD 174.5M in convertible notes and USD 66.1M in bank borrowings.

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Risk Factors

  • Continued erosion of same-store sales (-17.8%) and revenue base.
  • Negative shareholders' equity of USD 207M — balance sheet technically insolvent.
  • Cash of only USD 17.8M against significant near-term liabilities and debt maturities.
  • High leverage from USD 174.5M convertible notes plus USD 66.1M bank debt.
  • Future convertible note issuances (series proposed) will further dilute common equity.
  • China consumer spending environment remains challenged in coffee/quick-service sector.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating Places

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 10 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (THCH) — Batch item 10001213900-26-090969
Document: ea0302357-6k_thinter.htm0001213900-26-090969
Document: 0001213900-26-090969-index-headers.html0001213900-26-090969
Document: 0001213900-26-090969-index.html0001213900-26-090969
Document: 0001213900-26-090969.txt0001213900-26-090969
6-K Filing (THCH) — Batch item 60001213900-26-090969
Document: ea0302357-6k_thinter.htm0001213900-26-090969
Document: 0001213900-26-090969-index-headers.html0001213900-26-090969
Document: 0001213900-26-090969-index.html0001213900-26-090969
Document: 0001213900-26-090969.txt0001213900-26-090969
15 reports for THCH
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +26.47%Sep 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for THCH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.00awaiting T+60—$1.12 (+12.00%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.36awaiting T+60—$1.12 (+17.65%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.38awaiting T+60—$1.12 (+18.84%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.38awaiting T+60—$1.12 (+18.84%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.60awaiting T+60—$1.12 (−30.00%)
Jul 7, 2026
15w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.80 $1.32▲ +26.46%▲ +28.96%$1.12 (+37.60%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.75 $1.38▲ +21.14%▲ +27.72%$1.12 (+36.00%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.75 $1.38▼ −21.14%▼ −27.72%$1.12 (−36.00%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.80 $1.39▲ +22.78%▲ +26.59%$1.12 (+37.78%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$2.01 $1.25▼ −38.06%▼ −39.29%$1.12 (−44.28%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (9h 39m)

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Report published Aug 18, 2026