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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 18, 2026

THCH

TH International Limited
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 21.7% revenue decline and 17.8% same-store sales drop signal accelerating market share loss in China's competitive coffee market. The $15.8M convertible note financing provides near-term liquidity but adds dilution risk. Watch for further store closures and any signs of stabilization in same-store sales in Q3 2026.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
THCH ▼ -2.17% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.17% · α vs SPY +1.18% · entry $1.38 → $1.35
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Latest observation: T+47 +14.09% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-7.97%
call +7.97% · α +8.18%
$1.27
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-9.78%
call +9.78% · α +9.58%
$1.25
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-2.17%
call +2.17% · α +1.18%
$1.35
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 14d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TH International (Tims China) reported Q2 2026 revenue of RMB273.4M ($40.3M), a 21.7% YoY decline, and a net loss of RMB97.4M ($14.4M), widening from RMB75.9M a year ago. Same-store sales fell 17.8% system-wide and 17.3% at company-owned stores, while store contribution margin halved to 5.7%. The company closed 13 non-MTO stores and opened 15 MTO stores, and secured $15.8M in convertible note financing from its brand owner in July 2026, but fundamentals continue to deteriorate sharply with no consensus estimates available for comparison.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.44
Revenue
$40.3M
-21.7% YoY
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Total revenues fell 21.7% YoY to RMB273.4M ($40.3M) in Q2 2026.
  • System-wide same-store sales declined 17.8% (company-owned: -17.3%).
  • Net loss widened to RMB97.4M ($14.4M) from RMB75.9M in Q2 2025.
  • Company-owned store contribution margin dropped to 5.7% from 9.6% YoY.
  • Adjusted corporate EBITDA swung to a loss of RMB21.0M from a gain of RMB2.2M.
  • Basic and diluted loss per share worsened to RMB3.00 ($0.44) from RMB2.32.
  • Net cash from operations was positive RMB34.0M in Q2 2026 vs negative RMB1.2M a year ago, but cash and equivalents fell to RMB121.1M.
  • Closed 13 non-MTO stores and opened 15 MTO stores; total store count essentially flat at 1,028.
  • Closed initial tranche of $15.8M in senior secured convertible notes from brand owner THRI in July 2026.
  • Registered loyalty club members grew 41.7% YoY to 37.1 million.

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 21.7% YoY; net loss widened by 28.3% YoY; store contribution margin halved to 5.7%

revenuenet losssame-store salesstore contribution marginadjusted corporate EBITDA

Risk Factors

  • Continued same-store sales decline and market share loss to competitors like Luckin and Starbucks
  • Dilution risk from convertible notes and potential future equity offerings
  • Cash burn: only RMB121.1M cash vs RMB1.06B current liabilities; may require additional financing
  • Franchise and royalty expenses as % of revenue rising due to higher royalty rate

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating Places

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3346645
15 reports for THCH
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +26.47%Sep 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for THCH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.00awaiting T+60—$1.21 (+21.00%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.36awaiting T+60—$1.21 (+11.03%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.38awaiting T+60—$1.21 (+12.32%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.38awaiting T+60—$1.21 (+12.32%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.60awaiting T+60—$1.21 (−24.37%)
Jul 7, 2026
16w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.80 $1.32▲ +26.46%▲ +28.96%$1.21 (+32.59%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.75 $1.38▲ +21.14%▲ +27.72%$1.21 (+30.86%)
Jun 9, 2026
20w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$1.75 $1.38▼ −21.14%▼ −27.72%$1.21 (−30.86%)
Jun 9, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.80 $1.39▲ +22.78%▲ +26.59%$1.21 (+32.78%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$2.01 $1.25▼ −38.06%▼ −39.29%$1.21 (−39.80%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 7h 50m

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Report published Aug 18, 2026