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8-K ·Filed Apr 21, 2026

TH

Target Hospitality Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago SEC0001104659-26-046031
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor full Q1 results for confirmation of margin pressures and pace of ramp-up in new Workforce Hospitality Solutions contracts; near-term EBITDA compression expected despite revenue stability.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TH ▲ +11.98% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -11.98% · α vs SPY -7.20% · entry $14.61 → $16.36
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.18%
call +4.18% · α +3.78%
$14.00
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-2.81%
call +2.81% · α +2.86%
$14.20
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+25.94%
call -25.94% · α -22.78%
$18.40
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+11.98%
call -11.98% · α -7.20%
$16.36
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Target Hospitality issued a preliminary earnings release for Q1 2026, estimating revenue between $70.5M and $72.5M and Adjusted EBITDA between $8.0M and $9.0M, compared to $69.9M revenue and $21.6M Adjusted EBITDA in the prior year period. The decline is driven by the loss of the Pecos Children's Center contract, partially offset by new workforce housing wins.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.15
est −$0.11 · -36.4%
Revenue
$71.5M
est $74.0M · -3.4% · +2.3% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
320-330M
maintained

Key Facts

  • Preliminary Q1 2026 revenue estimated at $70.5M–$72.5M vs. $69.9M in Q1 2025
  • Preliminary Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA estimated at $8.0M–$9.0M vs. $21.6M in Q1 2025
  • Net loss estimated at $14.7M–$14.1M vs. $6.5M loss in Q1 2025
  • Decline primarily due to termination of the Pecos Children's Center contract in February 2025

Financial Impact

Revenue flat to slightly up, but EBITDA down ~60% YoY due to contract loss and higher operating costs

revenueebitdanet income

Risk Factors

  • Continued margin compression from construction-phase costs in new WHS contracts
  • Reliance on large government and infrastructure projects with execution risk

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Hotels, Rooming Houses, Camps & Other Lodging Places

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-046031
Document: 0001104659-26-046031-index-headers.html0001104659-26-046031
Document: 0001104659-26-046031-index.html0001104659-26-046031
Document: 0001104659-26-046031.txt0001104659-26-046031
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-046031
14 reports for TH
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +26.82%Aug 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.09awaiting T+1—$14.06 (+0.21%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$18.54 $18.26▲ +1.51%▲ +1.27%$14.06 (+24.16%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$21.28 $21.19▼ −0.42%▼ −0.41%$14.06 (−33.93%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.07 $18.39▲ +1.77%▲ +1.33%$14.06 (−22.19%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.78 $18.96▲ +12.99%▲ +12.34%$14.06 (−16.21%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.07 $16.62▲ +3.42%▲ +3.74%$14.06 (−12.51%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.76 $16.00▲ +1.52%▲ +1.68%$14.06 (−10.79%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$15.79 $15.99▲ +1.27%▼ −0.54%$14.06 (−10.96%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$17.36 $17.17▲ +1.09%▲ +1.35%$14.06 (+19.01%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$18.08 $17.48▼ −3.32%▼ −3.18%$14.06 (−22.23%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published Apr 21, 2026