SecBot SecBot
SC 13D/A ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

TH

Target Hospitality Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonimmediate Processed21d 3h ago SEC0000950142-26-002684
Activist stake amendment (position change)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The activist group has cut its stake by ~65% in a single transaction, likely signaling the end of its active campaign. Watch for further open-market sales that could bring the position below 10%, which would eliminate the need for ongoing Schedule 13D filings and reduce disclosure requirements.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d
TH ▲ +0.97% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.97% · α vs SPY -1.11% · entry $18.54 → $18.72
Next anchor: T+20d in 6d
Latest observation: T+13 +21.31% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.51%
call +1.51% · α +1.27%
$18.26
settled 21d ago
T+5d
+0.97%
call -0.97% · α -1.11%
$18.72
settled 15d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 6d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TDR Capital (through Arrow Holdings and MFA Global) sold 11,000,000 shares of Target Hospitality Corp. at $18.40 per share on October 1, 2026, reducing its aggregate beneficial ownership from 47.5% to 16.6%. This is a massive de-escalation — the activist group has slashed its stake by roughly two-thirds, signaling a significant reduction in conviction or a strategic exit.

Key Financial Metrics

Stake
16.6%
Investor
TDR Capital II Investments L.P.

Key Facts

  • On October 1, 2026, Arrow Holdings and MFA Global sold 11,000,000 shares at $18.40 per share in an open market sale.
  • Aggregate beneficial ownership dropped from 47,322,869 shares (47.5%) as of June 1, 2026 to 16,226,363 shares (16.6%) as of October 5, 2026.
  • The outstanding share count used for the new percentage is 97,929,824 shares, reflecting a stock repurchase by the issuer.
  • The sale represents a reduction of approximately 31,096,506 shares from the prior filing's reported position.

Financial Impact

Sale of 11,000,000 shares at $18.40 = $202.4 million in gross proceeds. The stake reduction from ~47.5% to ~16.6% implies a de facto exit from majority control.

ownership percentageshare countactivist pressure

Risk Factors

  • Further selling by TDR Capital could pressure the stock in the near term.
  • The loss of a large, engaged shareholder removes a potential catalyst for strategic change or premium bid.
  • The stock repurchase by the issuer (noted in the filing) may have been a defensive measure; its impact on float and future buyback capacity is unclear.

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13D/A Filing (Primary)0000950142-26-002684
Document: 0000950142-26-002684-index-headers.html0000950142-26-002684
Document: 0000950142-26-002684-index.html0000950142-26-002684
Document: 0000950142-26-002684.txt0000950142-26-002684
14 reports for TH
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +26.82%Aug 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+1——
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
SC 13D/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$18.54 $18.26▲ +1.51%▲ +1.27%$13.79 (+25.62%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$21.28 $21.19▼ −0.42%▼ −0.41%$13.79 (−35.20%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$18.07 $18.39▲ +1.77%▲ +1.33%$13.79 (−23.69%)
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.78 $18.96▲ +12.99%▲ +12.34%$13.79 (−17.82%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.07 $16.62▲ +3.42%▲ +3.74%$13.79 (−14.19%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$15.76 $16.00▲ +1.52%▲ +1.68%$13.79 (−12.50%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$15.79 $15.99▲ +1.27%▼ −0.54%$13.79 (−12.67%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$17.36 $17.17▲ +1.09%▲ +1.35%$13.79 (+20.56%)
May 11, 2026
24w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$18.08 $17.48▼ −3.32%▼ −3.18%$13.79 (−23.73%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 41m)

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Report published Oct 5, 2026