8-K ·Filed Jul 20, 2026

TEM

Tempus AI, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-309073
8-K Item 1.01 + 5.02 (likely routine officer/director compensation agreement)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor Personalis stockholder vote and HSR review timeline. Tempus stock price relative to the $48.42 floor will determine the final exchange ratio — a decline below $46.00 gives Personalis a termination right. Watch for any competing bids or regulatory pushback that could trigger the reverse termination fee.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TEM ▲ +0.78% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +0.78% · α vs SPY -1.79% · entry $48.98 → $49.36
Next anchor: T+60d in 11d
Latest observation: T+49 +70.33% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 20, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-4.12%
call -4.12% · α -4.01%
$46.96
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-12.39%
call -12.39% · α -11.16%
$42.91
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+0.78%
call +0.78% · α -1.79%
$49.36
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 11d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tempus AI (TEM) has entered into a definitive merger agreement to acquire Personalis, Inc. in a stock-for-stock transaction valued at an implied $16.25 per Personalis share (based on the cash election option), structured as a tax-free reorganization. Personalis stockholders will receive Tempus Class A common stock based on a floating exchange ratio, with Tempus retaining the option to pay cash for up to 50% of shares. The deal is subject to Personalis stockholder approval, regulatory clearances (including HSR), and other customary conditions, with an expected closing by April 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Tempus AI to acquire Personalis via two-step merger structure; Personalis will become a wholly-owned subsidiary
  • Personalis shareholders receive Tempus Class A common stock; Exchange Ratio = 0.3356 if Tempus VWAP ≤ $48.42, else $16.25 / Tempus VWAP
  • Tempus may elect to pay cash for up to 50% of shares at $16.25 per share (Cash Consideration), subject to reduction to maintain tax-free treatment
  • Termination fee of ~$76.8M payable by Personalis to Tempus in certain scenarios (e.g., board change of recommendation); reverse termination fee of ~$76.8M payable by Tempus to Personalis for antitrust-related failures
  • Transaction intended to qualify as a tax-free reorganization under Section 368(a) of the Code
  • Conditions include Personalis stockholder approval, HSR clearance, Nasdaq listing of Tempus shares, effectiveness of Form S-4, and receipt of tax opinion
  • Outside Date initially April 20, 2027, with automatic extensions to October 2027 and April 2028 if regulatory conditions remain unsatisfied

Financial Impact

Implied per-share value of $16.25 based on cash election option; total equity value not explicitly stated in filing. Tempus will issue shares as consideration, causing dilution for existing Tempus shareholders.

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain Personalis stockholder approval or regulatory clearances (HSR, antitrust)
  • Tempus stock price falling below $46.00, triggering Personalis termination right
  • Integration risks and potential inability to achieve expected synergies
  • Dilution from issuance of Tempus shares as merger consideration

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (24 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-309073
Document: d128960d8k.htm0001193125-26-309073
Document: 0001193125-26-309073-index-headers.html0001193125-26-309073
Document: 0001193125-26-309073-index.html0001193125-26-309073
Document: 0001193125-26-309073.txt0001193125-26-309073
30 reports for TEM
Performance horizon
92% Hit rate 11 of 12 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +45.98%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TEM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.62 $62.21▼ −3.73%▼ −2.52%$76.41 (+18.25%)
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.62 $62.21▼ −3.73%▼ −2.52%$76.41 (+18.25%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$62.27 $61.28▼ −1.59%▼ −1.67%$76.41 (+22.71%)
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$64.04 $64.62▼ −0.91%▼ −0.80%$76.41 (−19.32%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$68.48 $61.94▲ +9.55%▲ +9.43%$76.41 (−11.58%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.73 $62.27▼ −9.40%▼ −8.86%$76.41 (+11.17%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$72.69 $64.04▲ +11.90%▲ +12.37%$76.41 (−5.12%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$66.65 $70.69▲ +6.06%▲ +4.95%$76.41 (+14.64%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$49.36 $68.73▼ −39.24%▼ −39.44%$76.41 (−54.80%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$55.69 $49.36▼ −11.37%▼ −10.96%$76.41 (+37.21%)
Showing 10 of 30

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