8-K ·Filed Jul 20, 2026

TEM

Tempus AI, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-308469
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor Personalis shareholder vote and regulatory approvals (HSR, etc.) as key catalysts. Tempus' stock price above $46.00 is a condition for closing; any weakness below that level could introduce deal risk. The acquisition positions Tempus in the high-growth MRD market, but integration execution and dilution from stock issuance are key risks to watch.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TEM ▲ +6.67% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +6.67% · α vs SPY +2.55% · entry $48.41 → $51.64
Next anchor: T+60d in 11d
Latest observation: T+49 +70.33% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 20, 08:57 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+1.18%
call +1.18% · α +0.34%
$48.98
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-11.82%
call -11.82% · α -11.39%
$42.69
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+6.67%
call +6.67% · α +2.55%
$51.64
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 11d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tempus AI announced a definitive agreement to acquire Personalis (PSNL) for $16.25/share in a stock transaction valued at $1.5B enterprise value (net of Tempus' existing stake). The deal integrates Personalis' industry-leading MRD technology into Tempus' AI precision oncology platform, targeting a $20B MRD market. Personalis reported Q2 preliminary revenue of $22.4M and 10,384 clinical tests (+33% QoQ). Closing expected late 2026/early 2027, subject to Personalis shareholder approval and regulatory clearances.

Key Facts

  • Acquisition price: $16.25 per Personalis share, total enterprise value $1.5B net of Tempus' existing ownership
  • Consideration: 100% stock with Tempus option to pay cash up to 50%; floating exchange ratio subject to max 0.3356
  • Closing expected late 2026 or early 2027; Personalis can terminate if TEM stock falls below $46.00
  • Personalis Q2 preliminary revenue $22.4M, 10,384 clinical tests (+33% QoQ)
  • MRD market described as a $20B opportunity; existing partnership since Nov 2023
  • Premium: 6% to Friday's close, 28% to unaffected 30-day VWAP

Financial Impact

$1.5 billion enterprise value acquisition; all-stock consideration with potential 50% cash election

revenuedilutionenterprise value

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk combining Personalis' MRD technology with Tempus' platform
  • Dilution from stock consideration (floating exchange ratio)
  • Regulatory approval delays or conditions
  • Personalis termination right if TEM stock falls below $46.00
  • Potential shareholder opposition at Personalis

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (24 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-308469
Document: d124162dex991.htm0001193125-26-308469
Document: 0001193125-26-308469-index-headers.html0001193125-26-308469
Document: 0001193125-26-308469-index.html0001193125-26-308469
Document: 0001193125-26-308469.txt0001193125-26-308469
30 reports for TEM
Performance horizon
91% Hit rate 10 of 11 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +45.98%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TEM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.62 $62.21▼ −3.73%▼ −2.52%$76.41 (+18.25%)
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.62 $62.21▼ −3.73%▼ −2.52%$76.41 (+18.25%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$62.27 $61.28▼ −1.59%▼ −1.67%$76.41 (+22.71%)
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$64.04 $64.62▼ −0.91%▼ −0.80%$76.41 (−19.32%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$68.48 $61.94▲ +9.55%▲ +9.43%$76.41 (−11.58%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.73 $62.27▼ −9.40%▼ −8.86%$76.41 (+11.17%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$72.69 $64.04▲ +11.90%▲ +12.37%$76.41 (−5.12%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$66.65 $70.69▲ +6.06%▲ +4.95%$76.41 (+14.64%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$49.36 $68.73▼ −39.24%▼ −39.44%$76.41 (−54.80%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$55.69 $49.36▼ −11.37%▼ −10.96%$76.41 (+37.21%)
Showing 10 of 30

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