8-K ·Filed Feb 24, 2026

TEM

Tempus AI, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago SEC0001193125-26-066931
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong revenue growth, particularly in the high-margin Data and Applications segment (30.9% YoY), combined with the significant improvement in Adjusted EBITDA (turning positive in Q4), suggests the company is scaling efficiently. The 2026 guidance indicates continued strong growth and improving profitability, making this a key catalyst for investor interest. Monitor the sustainability of the 121.6% Diagnostics growth and the expansion of the $1.1 billion Total Remaining Contract Value.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TEM ▼ -14.58% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -14.58% · α vs SPY -21.53% · entry $53.71 → $45.88
Entry anchored
Feb 24, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+3.17%
call +3.17% · α +3.71%
$55.41
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-4.51%
call -4.51% · α -3.41%
$51.29
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-12.94%
call -12.94% · α -7.70%
$46.76
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-14.58%
call -14.58% · α -21.53%
$45.88
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tempus AI reported strong fourth quarter and full year 2025 results with revenue of $367.2 million (up 83.0% YoY) and full-year revenue of $1.3 billion (up 83.4% YoY), driven by 121.6% growth in Diagnostics and 30.9% growth in Data and Applications. The company achieved positive Adjusted EBITDA of $12.9 million in Q4 and provided 2026 revenue guidance of $1.59 billion (~25% growth) with expected Adjusted EBITDA of ~$65 million.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.3B
+83.4% YoY
Adj. EPS
$-0.61
GAAP: $-1.41
Guidance
$1.59 billion
raised
Gross Margin
62.7%

Key Facts

  • Q4 revenue of $367.2 million, up 83.0% year-over-year with 33.5% organic growth (excluding Ambry)
  • Diagnostics revenue of $266.9 million in Q4, representing 121.6% year-over-year growth
  • Data and Applications revenue of $100.4 million in Q4, representing 25.1% year-over-year growth
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved to $12.9 million in Q4, compared to ($7.8 million) in Q4 2024
  • Full year 2025 revenue increased 83.4% to $1.3 billion
  • 2026 revenue guidance of $1.59 billion (~25% annual growth) and Adjusted EBITDA of ~$65 million
  • Ended year with over $1.1 billion in Total Remaining Contract Value and 126% Net Revenue Retention

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 83% in 2025 with strong guidance for 25% growth in 2026 and path to profitability (positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q4)

revenueepsmarginsguidance

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Diagnostics$955.4M+111.5%
Data and Applications$316.4M+30.9%

Risk Factors

  • The company reported a net loss of $245 million for the full year 2025, indicating it is not yet profitable on a GAAP basis.
  • The guidance is for Adjusted EBITDA, not net income, and the company does not provide net loss guidance, leaving uncertainty about the path to GAAP profitability.
  • The business has significant debt, including $728 million in convertible senior notes, which could pose a risk if growth slows or interest rates rise.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 11 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (TEM) — Batch item 10001193125-26-066931
Document: tem-20260224.htm0001193125-26-066931
Document: 0001193125-26-066931-index-headers.html0001193125-26-066931
Document: 0001193125-26-066931-index.html0001193125-26-066931
Document: 0001193125-26-066931.txt0001193125-26-066931
8-K Filing (TEM) — Batch item 60001193125-26-066931
Document: tem-20260224.htm0001193125-26-066931
Document: 0001193125-26-066931-index-headers.html0001193125-26-066931
Document: 0001193125-26-066931-index.html0001193125-26-066931
Document: 0001193125-26-066931.txt0001193125-26-066931
CONTEXT: Previous Earnings (2026-02-24)0001193125-26-066931
30 reports for TEM
Performance horizon
91% Hit rate 10 of 11 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +45.98%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TEM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.62 $62.21▼ −3.73%▼ −2.52%$76.03 (+17.65%)
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.62 $62.21▼ −3.73%▼ −2.52%$76.03 (+17.65%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$62.27 $61.28▼ −1.59%▼ −1.67%$76.03 (+22.09%)
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$64.04 $64.62▼ −0.91%▼ −0.80%$76.03 (−18.71%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$68.48 $61.94▲ +9.55%▲ +9.43%$76.03 (−11.02%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.73 $62.27▼ −9.40%▼ −8.86%$76.03 (+10.61%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$72.69 $64.04▲ +11.90%▲ +12.37%$76.03 (−4.59%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$66.65 $70.69▲ +6.06%▲ +4.95%$76.03 (+14.07%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$49.36 $68.73▼ −39.24%▼ −39.44%$76.03 (−54.02%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$55.69 $49.36▼ −11.37%▼ −10.96%$76.03 (+36.51%)
Showing 10 of 30

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