8-K ·Filed Aug 4, 2026

TDG

TransDigm Group INC
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001260221-26-000052
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The third consecutive guidance raise confirms strong momentum in commercial aftermarket and OEM build rates. With $2.8B cash and $1.8B YTD buybacks, management is aggressively returning capital while executing bolt-on M&A. Watch for potential headwinds from rising interest expense (net interest $514M in Q3) and integration of recent acquisitions, but the underlying demand cycle remains robust.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TDG ▼ -9.36% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.36% · α vs SPY -8.12% · entry $1,275.05 → $1,155.76
Next anchor: T+60d in 26d
Latest observation: T+40 -11.57% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 3, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.60%
call -1.60% · α -1.40%
$1,254.71
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-2.59%
call -2.59% · α -2.49%
$1,242.04
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-9.36%
call -9.36% · α -8.12%
$1,155.76
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
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in 26d

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Executive Summary

TransDigm Group reported fiscal Q3 2026 results with net sales of $2,741M (+23% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $10.87 (+13% YoY), beating consensus estimates of $2.67B and $10.33 respectively. The company raised full-year guidance for the third consecutive quarter, increasing net sales midpoint by $150M and adjusted EPS midpoint by $1.52, driven by broad-based double-digit growth across commercial aftermarket (+17%), commercial OEM, and defense channels.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$10.87
est $10.33 · +5.2%
Revenue
$2.7B
est $2.7B · +2.7% · +23.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$10,470M-$10,550M
raised
Gross Margin
59.4%

Key Facts

  • Q3 net sales $2,741M, +23% YoY (organic +13%)
  • Adjusted EPS $10.87 vs consensus $10.33 (+5.2% beat)
  • GAAP EPS $9.39, +11% YoY
  • EBITDA As Defined $1,447M, +19% YoY, margin 52.8%
  • FY2026 guidance raised: net sales $10,470M-$10,550M (midpoint +$150M), adjusted EPS $40.62-$41.46 (midpoint +$1.52)
  • Commercial aftermarket grew 17% in the quarter
  • YTD share repurchases $1.8B; Q3 repurchases $1.0B at avg $1,208/share
  • Acquisition of Prince Izant for ~$1.07B announced post-quarter
  • Long-term debt $32.6B, stockholders' deficit $9.8B

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by ~$71M (2.7%); adjusted EPS beat by $0.54 (5.2%); guidance raised by $150M at midpoint for revenue and $1.52 for adjusted EPS

revenueepsebitdaguidance

Risk Factors

  • High leverage: long-term debt $32.6B vs equity deficit $9.8B
  • Interest expense rising: $514M in Q3 vs $397M prior year (+29%)
  • Integration risk from $2.2B Jet Parts/Victor Sierra and $1.07B Prince Izant acquisitions
  • Aerospace cycle sensitivity: commercial aftermarket could soften if flight hours decline
  • Share count declining rapidly (57.4M shares vs 58.1M prior year) may boost EPS but reflects aggressive buybacks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC
Analyst Consensus
59% bullish (27 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001260221-26-000052
Document: tdg-20260804.htm0001260221-26-000052
Document: 0001260221-26-000052-index-headers.html0001260221-26-000052
Document: 0001260221-26-000052-index.html0001260221-26-000052
Document: 0001260221-26-000052.txt0001260221-26-000052
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001260221-26-000052
18 reports for TDG
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +12.24%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TDG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,111.22 $1,109.65▼ −0.14%▼ −0.25%$1,090.38 (−1.88%)
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1,111.22 $1,109.65▼ −0.14%▼ −0.25%$1,090.38 (−1.88%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,222.91 $1,207.06▼ −1.30%▼ −0.91%$1,090.38 (−10.84%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1,275.05 $1,242.04▼ −2.59%▼ −2.49%$1,090.38 (−14.48%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1,275.05 $1,242.04▼ −2.59%▼ −2.49%$1,090.38 (−14.48%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1,286.27 $1,254.38▼ −2.48%▼ −3.55%$1,090.38 (−15.23%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1,286.27 $1,254.38▼ −2.48%▼ −3.55%$1,090.38 (−15.23%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,286.27 $1,254.38▼ −2.48%▼ −3.55%$1,090.38 (−15.23%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1,236.71 $1,249.91▲ +1.07%▲ +0.69%$1,090.38 (−11.83%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1,205.49 $1,286.27▲ +6.70%▲ +7.93%$1,090.38 (−9.55%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 7m)

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