PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 12, 2026

TCRX

TScan Therapeutics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EPS miss and 66% revenue decline are clear negatives, but the Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 initiation and positive Phase 1 data provide a pipeline floor. Watch for Q4 2026 updates on Cohort C data and TSC-102 trials; the cash runway into Q2 2027 with debt amortization starting suggests a dilutive financing event is likely within 12 months. Short-term bearish on financials, but long-term value hinges on ALLOHA-2 readout in 2028.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TCRX ▼ -58.87% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +58.87% · α vs SPY +56.98% · entry $0.7730 → $0.3179
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+34 +63.31% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 12, 07:00 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-0.13%
call +0.13% · α +0.83%
$0.7720
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-2.98%
call +2.98% · α +2.53%
$0.7500
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-58.87%
call +58.87% · α +56.98%
$0.3179
settled 22d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TScan Therapeutics reported Q2 2026 EPS of -$0.23, a 15% miss vs consensus of -$0.20, and revenue of $1.1M, sharply down 66% YoY from $3.1M due to timing of Amgen collaboration activities. The net loss narrowed to $30.4M from $37.0M, but cash burn remains high with cash runway only into Q2 2027, pressured by upcoming debt amortization. Positive clinical data from the Phase 1 ALLOHA study and first patient dosed in the Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial provide pipeline catalysts, but the financial miss and cash constraints dominate the near-term outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.23
est $-0.20 · -15.0%
Revenue
$1.1M
est $2.5M · -58.0% · -65.8% YoY
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 EPS -$0.23 vs consensus -$0.20 (15% miss)
  • Q2 2026 revenue $1.1M, down 66% YoY from $3.1M
  • Net loss $30.4M vs $37.0M YoY, but cash burn remains high
  • Cash and equivalents $100.2M, runway only into Q2 2027
  • Debt amortization begins Q4 2026 after milestone miss, pressuring cash
  • First patient dosed in Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial; topline data expected mid-2028
  • Positive initial data from Cohort C of Phase 1 ALLOHA study with 79% complete donor chimerism
  • Pro forma shares outstanding 130.0M, significant dilution from pre-funded warrants

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.03 per share; revenue decline of $2.0M YoY; cash burn of ~$52M in H1 2026

epsrevenuecashdebt

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway only into Q2 2027 with debt amortization starting Q4 2026, likely requiring dilutive financing
  • Revenue heavily dependent on Amgen collaboration timing; no recurring revenue base
  • Phase 3 ALLOHA-2 trial topline not expected until mid-2028, leaving long period of binary risk
  • Significant dilution from 62.2M pre-funded warrants outstanding

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3343490
10 reports for TCRX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 6 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +58.87%Aug 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TCRX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.3204 $0.3119▼ −2.65%▼ −2.43%$0.3242 (+1.19%)
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.3810 $0.3179▲ +16.56%▲ +15.60%$0.3242 (+14.91%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.7500 $0.7774▼ −3.65%▼ −4.04%$0.3242 (+56.77%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7730 $0.7500▲ +2.98%▲ +2.53%$0.3242 (+58.06%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7730 $0.7500▲ +2.98%▲ +2.53%$0.3242 (+58.06%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.8651 $0.9775▲ +12.99%▲ +13.45%$0.3242 (−62.52%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.8651 $0.9688▲ +11.99%▲ +14.06%$0.3242 (−62.52%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.25 $1.15▼ −8.00%▼ −9.13%$0.3242 (−74.06%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.01 $1.05▲ +3.96%▲ +0.34%$0.3242 (−67.90%)
Mar 4, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.08 $1.15▲ +6.48%▲ +7.81%$0.3242 (−69.98%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Aug 12, 2026