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425 ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

TCBX

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 13h ago SEC0001193125-26-427908
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The sequential earnings decline and margin compression signal near-term headwinds, but the Great Plains acquisition provides a medium-term catalyst. Watch for Q4 2026 results to see if NIM stabilizes and whether acquisition-related costs continue to pressure earnings. The deal closing in Q1 2027 will be a key event for share price re-rating.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
TCBX ▼ -0.50% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.50% · α vs SPY -0.02% · entry $40.00 → $39.80
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.50%
call +0.50% · α -0.02%
$39.80
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Third Coast Bancshares reported Q3 2026 net income of $19.0M ($0.93 diluted EPS), down from $22.0M ($1.08 diluted) in Q2 2026, driven by $3.2M in acquisition-related expenses and the absence of a $3.5M gain on sale of factored receivables. Net interest margin compressed to 3.70% from 3.83% QoQ and 4.10% YoY. The company reiterated its all-stock acquisition of Great Plains Bancshares valued at ~$239.6M, expected to close in Q1 2027. The earnings miss on a sequential basis and margin compression are notable negatives, partially offset by strong YoY net income growth and continued loan/deposit growth.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$239.6M
Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 net income of $19.0M vs $22.0M in Q2 2026 (down 13.6% QoQ) and $18.1M in Q3 2025 (up 5.2% YoY)
  • Diluted EPS of $0.93 vs $1.08 in Q2 2026 and $1.03 in Q3 2025
  • Net interest margin of 3.70% vs 3.83% Q2 2026 and 4.10% Q3 2025
  • Efficiency ratio worsened to 63.10% from 56.51% Q2 2026 and 53.03% Q3 2025
  • Gross loans grew to $5.49B from $5.44B QoQ; deposits grew to $5.92B from $5.86B QoQ
  • Nonperforming loans increased to $29.0M from $27.1M QoQ; NPL ratio 0.53% vs 0.50%
  • All-stock acquisition of Great Plains Bancshares valued at ~$239.6M, expected to close Q1 2027
  • Book value per share rose to $36.53 from $36.34 QoQ; tangible book value to $33.31 from $33.08

Financial Impact

Q3 2026 net income of $19.0M, down 13.6% sequentially; diluted EPS $0.93 vs $1.08 Q2 2026; NIM compressed 13bp QoQ to 3.70%

net incomeearnings per sharenet interest marginefficiency rationonperforming loans

Risk Factors

  • Continued net interest margin compression from rising deposit costs and loan yield pressure
  • Integration risk and potential dilution from the Great Plains all-stock acquisition
  • Rising nonperforming loans (up $1.9M QoQ) could signal credit deterioration
  • Efficiency ratio deterioration from 56.51% to 63.10% indicates expense growth outpacing revenue

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-427908
Document: tcbx_2026_q3_8k_425.htm0001193125-26-427908
Document: tcbx-ex99_2.htm0001193125-26-427908
Document: 0001193125-26-427908-index-headers.html0001193125-26-427908
Document: 0001193125-26-427908-index.html0001193125-26-427908
Document: 0001193125-26-427908.txt0001193125-26-427908
16 reports for TCBX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+1 6 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 6 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +6.84%Jul 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TCBX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$39.80awaiting T+1—$40.12 (+0.80%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
425
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$40.00 $39.80▲ +0.50%▼ −0.02%$40.12 (−0.30%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$40.00 $39.80▼ −0.50%▲ +0.02%$40.12 (+0.30%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$41.20 $41.40▲ +0.49%▲ +0.20%$40.12 (−2.62%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$41.20 $41.40▲ +0.49%▲ +0.20%$40.12 (−2.62%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$41.70 $41.78▲ +0.19%▲ +0.20%$40.12 (−3.79%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$41.70 $41.78▲ +0.19%▲ +0.20%$40.12 (−3.79%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$41.27 $41.77▲ +1.21%▲ +1.63%$40.12 (−2.79%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$41.27 $41.77▲ +1.21%▲ +1.63%$40.12 (−2.79%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$44.05 $43.56▼ −1.11%▼ −1.10%$40.12 (−8.92%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Oct 21, 2026