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424B5 ·Filed Apr 9, 2026

TBNRL

Tamboran Resources Corp
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago SEC0001193125-26-148892
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The 18.5% discount to market price suggests weak investor demand. Traders should monitor the concurrent institutional entitlement offer completion and Falcon Acquisition regulatory approvals as near-term catalysts. The substantial going concern doubt remains a major overhang despite the capital raise.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TBNRL ▲ +2.78% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -2.78% · α vs SPY +8.00% · entry $0.1800 → $0.1850
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.06%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +3.19%
$0.1800
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-2.78%
call +2.78% · α +10.35%
$0.1750
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+2.78%
call -2.78% · α +8.00%
$0.1850
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tamboran Resources Corp is raising $97.8 million through a public offering of 2.96 million shares at $35.00 per share, concurrent with a $79.3 million institutional entitlement offer. The proceeds will fund drilling and development in the Beetaloo Basin, but the company continues to face substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

Key Facts

  • Raising $97.8 million through public offering of 2,956,602 shares at $35.00 per share
  • Concurrent institutional entitlement offer for up to $79.3 million (2,266,729 shares)
  • Proceeds to fund drilling in Pilot Area, Orion Acreage, Beetaloo Central Development Area, and EP 161 acreage
  • Company faces substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern
  • Falcon Acquisition remains pending with regulatory approvals needed
  • Stock offered at $35.00 per share vs. $42.94 closing price, representing a 18.5% discount

Financial Impact

Raises $97.8 million in gross proceeds, increasing cash position by 117% from $83.4 million at December 2025

cashdilutionequity

Risk Factors

  • Substantial doubt about going concern status
  • Falcon Acquisition not yet completed
  • Significant dilution from capital raise
  • 18.5% discount to market price indicates weak investor demand

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-148892
Document: d110593dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-148892
Document: 0001193125-26-148892-index-headers.html0001193125-26-148892
Document: 0001193125-26-148892-index.html0001193125-26-148892
Document: 0001193125-26-148892.txt0001193125-26-148892
8 reports for TBNRL
Performance horizon
0% Hit rate @ T+20 0 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 4 best @ T+5▲ +2.78%Apr 14, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TBNRL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +5.92%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +3.64%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▼ −5.82%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 14, 2026
27w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +6.30%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 9, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1800 $0.1750▲ +2.78%▲ +10.35%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
S-3ASR
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 57m)

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Report published Apr 9, 2026