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424B5 ·Filed Apr 7, 2026

TBNRL

Tamboran Resources Corp
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago SEC0001193125-26-145758
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor completion of both the entitlement and underwritten offerings, as failure to raise anticipated capital could accelerate liquidity concerns. The concurrent Falcon acquisition adds integration risk, while the going concern warning suggests traders should assess near-term cash runway and potential for additional dilutive financing.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TBNRL ▲ +5.71% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.71% · α vs SPY +4.74% · entry $0.1750 → $0.1850
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.86%
call -2.86% · α -2.28%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+2.86%
call -2.86% · α +0.66%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +8.54%
$0.1750
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+5.71%
call -5.71% · α +4.74%
$0.1850
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tamboran Resources Corp is conducting a registered direct institutional entitlement offer of common stock at a one-for-ten ratio, concurrent with a separate underwritten offering of 2,956,602 shares. The company expects to raise capital to fund drilling and development activities in the Beetaloo Basin, while also progressing its acquisition of Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd. Despite shareholder interest of up to $6 million, the offering occurs amid substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern.

Key Facts

  • Conducting an institutional entitlement offer with a one-for-ten subscription ratio
  • Concurrent underwritten offering of 2,956,602 shares with 443,491 additional shares option
  • Shareholder interest indicated for up to $6 million in shares
  • Proceeds to fund drilling in Pilot Area, Orion Acreage, Beetaloo Central Development Area, and EP 161 acreage
  • Auditors have raised substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern
  • Falcon Acquisition pending with $23.7 million cash and 6,537,503 shares consideration

Financial Impact

Capital raise from entitlement offer and underwritten offering of nearly 3 million shares, plus potential shareholder purchases of $6 million worth of shares

dilutioncashFlowdebt

Risk Factors

  • Substantial doubt about going concern status due to recurring losses and negative cash flows
  • Risk that Falcon acquisition may not close on timeline or at all
  • Potential for significant shareholder dilution from capital raising
  • Concentration risk with all assets in Beetaloo Basin

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-145758
Document: 0001193125-26-145758-index-headers.html0001193125-26-145758
Document: 0001193125-26-145758-index.html0001193125-26-145758
Document: 0001193125-26-145758.txt0001193125-26-145758
8 reports for TBNRL
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +2.78%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TBNRL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +5.92%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +3.64%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▼ −5.82%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 14, 2026
27w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +6.30%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 9, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1800 $0.1750▲ +2.78%▲ +10.35%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
S-3ASR
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (11h 8m)

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Report published Apr 7, 2026