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424B5 ·Filed Apr 7, 2026

TBNRL

Tamboran Resources Corp
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago SEC0001193125-26-145697
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should monitor the completion of the Falcon Acquisition and the uptake of the entitlement offer, as failure to complete either could negatively impact the stock. The substantial dilution from this offering combined with ongoing going concern risks suggests caution despite the capital raise.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TBNRL ▲ +5.71% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -5.71% · α vs SPY +4.74% · entry $0.1750 → $0.1850
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.86%
call -2.86% · α -2.28%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+2.86%
call -2.86% · α +0.66%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +8.54%
$0.1750
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+5.71%
call -5.71% · α +4.74%
$0.1850
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tamboran Resources Corp is conducting a $127 million public offering of 2.96 million shares at $42.94 per share, concurrent with a separate institutional entitlement offer. The proceeds will fund drilling and development in the Beetaloo Basin, but the company continues to face substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.

Key Facts

  • Tamboran is raising approximately $127 million through a public offering of 2,956,602 shares at $42.94 per share
  • Concurrent institutional entitlement offer allows eligible holders to subscribe at same price with one-for-ten ratio
  • Company faces substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern due to recurring losses and negative cash flows
  • Proceeds will fund drilling in Pilot Area, resource delineation in Orion Acreage, and Beetaloo Central Development Area
  • Falcon Acquisition remains pending with regulatory approvals needed, creating execution risk

Financial Impact

Raises approximately $127 million in gross proceeds before expenses and discounts

cashdilutiondebt

Risk Factors

  • Substantial doubt about going concern status
  • Failure to complete Falcon Acquisition
  • Dilution from share offering
  • Execution risk on development plans

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-145697
Document: 0001193125-26-145697-index-headers.html0001193125-26-145697
Document: 0001193125-26-145697-index.html0001193125-26-145697
Document: 0001193125-26-145697.txt0001193125-26-145697
8 reports for TBNRL
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +2.78%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TBNRL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +5.92%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
May 13, 2026
23w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1800 $0.1850▲ +2.78%▲ +3.64%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 15, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▼ −5.82%$0.1400 (−22.22%)
Apr 14, 2026
27w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +6.30%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 9, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1800 $0.1750▲ +2.78%▲ +10.35%$0.1400 (+22.22%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Apr 7, 2026
28w ago
S-3ASR
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.1750 $0.1750· 0.00%▲ +8.54%$0.1400 (+20.00%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 5h 41m

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Report published Apr 7, 2026