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8-K ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

SWBI

SMITH & WESSON BRANDS, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed5d 14h ago SEC0001193125-26-427316
Killer combo: M&A completed + management change
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor integration progress and synergy realization over the next 2-4 quarters. The 360-day lockup on JDH's shares (releasing in three equal tranches at 90, 240, and 360 days) will be a key overhang to watch. The post-closing adjustment and any updates to guidance in upcoming earnings calls will provide further clarity on accretion.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+1d
SWBI ▼ -4.97% at T+1d
LONG call ✗ call lost -4.97% · α vs SPY -3.79% · entry $15.10 → $14.35
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+2 -8.60% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.97%
call -4.97% · α -3.79%
$14.35
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) completed the acquisition of Savage Arms on October 21, 2026, for a total consideration of approximately $164.9 million, consisting of 8,993,968 shares of SWBI common stock (valued at $13.62/share, representing 19.99% of pre-transaction shares outstanding) and $42.4 million in cash. The transaction is expected to be immediately accretive to EPS by ~$0.04 for the remainder of fiscal 2027 and ~$0.07 on a full-year basis, with additional accretion of ~$0.10 after synergies. JDH Capital (the seller) becomes SWBI's largest stockholder at 16.7% ownership and gains board representation.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$164.9M
Deal Type
acquisition
Dilution
19.99%

Key Facts

  • Acquisition of Savage Arms closed on October 21, 2026 for ~$164.9M total consideration (8,993,968 shares + $42.4M cash)
  • Savage generated ~$160M net sales for the twelve months ended September 30, 2026
  • Transaction expected to deliver ~$18M incremental EBITDAS on a full-year basis
  • Expected to be immediately accretive to fully diluted EPS by ~$0.04 for remainder of fiscal 2027, ~$0.07 full-year, and ~$0.10 after synergies
  • Purchase price represents ~7.9x Savage's Adjusted EBITDA after expected initial annual run-rate synergies of $2.5M
  • JDH Capital becomes SWBI's largest stockholder at 16.7% ownership and appoints Michael Fertitta to the board
  • Pro forma net leverage ratio of 1.16x post-closing

Financial Impact

Total consideration ~$164.9M (8,993,968 shares at $13.62/share + $42.4M cash). Savage TTM net sales ~$160M. Expected ~$18M incremental EBITDAS. Accretion of $0.04-$0.10 per share.

revenueepsebitdadebtdilution

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk: combining two distinct manufacturing operations and cultures may prove challenging
  • Dilution: issuance of 8,993,968 shares (19.99% of pre-transaction shares) will dilute existing stockholders
  • Execution risk: synergy targets of $2.5M initial run-rate may not be achieved
  • Regulatory risk: firearms industry subject to potential regulatory changes and social activism
  • Lockup expiration: JDH's ability to sell shares after lockup periods could pressure stock price

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-427316
Document: d166089dex101.htm0001193125-26-427316
Document: d166089d8k.htm0001193125-26-427316
Document: d166089dex991.htm0001193125-26-427316
Document: d166089dex992.htm0001193125-26-427316
6 reports for SWBI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +9.24%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SWBI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$13.71 $13.84▲ +0.95%▲ +0.24%$13.84 (+0.95%)
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.10 $14.35▼ −4.97%▼ −3.79%$13.84 (−8.34%)
Sep 8, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$13.27 $13.16▲ +0.82%▲ +0.22%$13.84 (−4.32%)
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.93 $15.25▲ +2.14%▲ +2.69%$13.84 (−7.30%)
Jun 17, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.08 $16.45▲ +2.30%▲ +2.62%$13.84 (−13.93%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.86 $14.11▲ +1.79%▲ +0.94%$13.84 (−0.14%)
Showing 6 of 6

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 6m)

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Report published Oct 21, 2026