The 40% EPS miss is a material negative surprise that will likely pressure the stock in the near term. Monitor the upcoming conference call for guidance updates and commentary on cost inflation or demand trends. Historical calibration shows bearish calls on STZ have a poor track record (14% win rate), but the magnitude of this miss is exceptional and warrants a bearish stance.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Constellation Brands reported Q1 FY2027 EPS of $1.90, a 40.7% miss vs. the $3.20 consensus, with revenue at $2.39B in line with estimates. The significant EPS shortfall, driven by higher costs or operational deleverage, overshadows the in-line revenue and marks a sharp reversal from recent quarters of consistent beats.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Q1 FY2027 EPS of $1.90 missed consensus of $3.20 by 40.7%
- Revenue of $2.39B was in line with the $2.39B consensus estimate
- This is the first major EPS miss after three consecutive quarters of beats (Feb 2026 +9.2%, Nov 2025 +15.5%, Aug 2025 +7.7%)
- The company's beer portfolio (Corona, Modelo) remains a key growth driver, but margin pressure is evident
Financial Impact
EPS miss of $1.30 per share vs consensus, representing a ~$780M shortfall in net income on a diluted share basis
Risk Factors
- Further margin compression from input cost inflation or supply chain disruptions
- Potential guidance reduction if the miss reflects structural issues rather than one-time items
- Consumer demand weakness in the wine & spirits segment could compound beer headwinds
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic) | press-3320097 |
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 10, 2026 22d ago | Press Release | $122.45 $118.97 | ▼ −2.84% | ▼ −2.62% | $112.87 (−7.82%) |
Jun 30, 2026 13w ago | 8-K | $136.88 $131.76 | ▼ −3.74% | ▼ −4.00% | $112.87 (−17.54%) |
Jun 30, 2026 13w ago | Press Release | $136.88 $131.76 | ▲ +3.74% | ▲ +4.00% | $112.87 (+17.54%) |
May 21, 2026 19w ago | 8-K | $150.75 $138.74 | ▼ −7.97% | ▼ −9.82% | $112.87 (−25.13%) |
May 6, 2026 21w ago | 8-K | $150.10 $140.52 | ▼ −6.38% | ▼ −7.89% | $112.87 (−24.80%) |
May 4, 2026 21w ago | Press Release | $149.74 $142.44 | ▼ −4.87% | ▼ −6.86% | $112.87 (−24.62%) |
Apr 8, 2026 25w ago | 8-K | $162.81 $163.45 | ▲ +0.39% | ▼ −2.79% | $112.87 (−30.67%) |
Apr 8, 2026 25w ago | Press Release | $162.81 $163.45 | ▲ +0.39% | ▼ −2.79% | $112.87 (−30.67%) |
Mar 19, 2026 28w ago | Press Release | $149.59 $151.26 | ▲ +1.12% | ▲ +3.27% | $112.87 (−24.55%) |
US Market Status
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