8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

STRD

Strategy Inc
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001050446-26-000024
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The stock will trade on bitcoin's price direction, not on software earnings. The $14.46B unrealized loss reflects bitcoin's decline from ~$93K at Dec 31, 2025 to ~$68K at Mar 31, 2026. Monitor bitcoin price recovery and continued STRC demand as the primary catalysts. The $2.21B cash reserve provides ~2.5 years of dividend coverage, reducing near-term distress risk.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
STRD ▼ -23.88% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +23.88% · α vs SPY +25.94% · entry $76.05 → $57.89
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.30%
call +0.30% · α -0.03%
$75.82
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.25%
call -1.25% · α -0.12%
$77.00
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-9.02%
call +9.02% · α +11.80%
$69.19
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-23.88%
call +23.88% · α +25.94%
$57.89
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Strategy Inc reported Q1 2026 revenue of $124.3M (+11.9% YoY), but posted a GAAP net loss of $12.54B ($38.25/share) driven by a $14.46B unrealized loss on its bitcoin holdings. The company raised $7.37B in Q1 via ATM offerings, grew bitcoin holdings 22% YTD to 818,334 BTC, and achieved a 9.4% BTC Yield. The massive unrealized loss from bitcoin's price decline overshadows the software revenue growth and capital-raising success.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-38.25
Revenue
$124.3M
est $125.1M · -0.6% · +11.9% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Gross Margin
67.1%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 total revenue $124.3M, +11.9% YoY from $111.1M
  • GAAP net loss $12.54B ($38.25/share diluted) vs $4.22B ($16.49/share) YoY
  • Unrealized loss on digital assets $14.46B in Q1 2026 vs $5.91B in Q1 2025
  • Bitcoin holdings grew 22% YTD to 818,334 BTC as of May 3, 2026
  • Raised $7.37B in Q1 2026 via ATM offerings ($5.30B MSTR, $2.07B STRC)
  • BTC Yield of 9.4% achieved YTD 2026
  • Cash and cash equivalents $2.21B as of March 31, 2026, down from $2.30B at Dec 31, 2025
  • Subscription services revenue $58.9M, +58.7% YoY
  • Gross margin 67.1% vs 69.4% in Q1 2025
  • Preferred stock dividends $229.5M in Q1 2026 vs $10.6M in Q1 2025

Financial Impact

Net loss of $12.54B driven by $14.46B unrealized loss on bitcoin; revenue grew $13.2M YoY to $124.3M

net incomeepsdigital assets carrying valueshareholder equity

Risk Factors

  • Further bitcoin price decline would amplify unrealized losses and potentially trigger margin calls on debt covenants
  • Massive ongoing dilution from ATM programs (333.9M diluted shares, +30% YoY)
  • Preferred dividend obligations growing rapidly ($229.5M in Q1 2026, up from $10.6M YoY)
  • Software business remains small relative to bitcoin exposure ($124.3M quarterly revenue vs $51.6B digital assets)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Crypto & Blockchain

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001050446-26-000024
Document: mstr-20260505.htm0001050446-26-000024
Document: 0001050446-26-000024-index-headers.html0001050446-26-000024
Document: 0001050446-26-000024-index.html0001050446-26-000024
Document: 0001050446-26-000024.txt0001050446-26-000024
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001050446-26-000024
28 reports for STRD
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for STRD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$68.65 $72.85▲ +6.12%▲ +3.07%$73.29 (+6.76%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K / DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$68.65 $72.85▲ +6.12%▲ +3.07%$73.29 (+6.76%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$70.00 $72.05▲ +2.93%▲ +1.05%$73.29 (+4.70%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$69.19 $73.84▲ +6.72%▲ +4.22%$73.29 (+5.93%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.94 $73.03▲ +4.43%▲ +3.31%$73.29 (+4.80%)
Jun 1, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$70.87 $73.22▲ +3.32%▲ +2.08%$73.29 (+3.41%)
May 29, 2026
17w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$70.87 $73.22▲ +3.32%▲ +2.08%$73.29 (+3.41%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$70.11 $72.69▲ +3.68%▲ +2.50%$73.29 (+4.54%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$72.60 $72.50▼ −0.14%▼ −1.87%$73.29 (+0.95%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$73.52 $70.80▼ −3.70%▼ −5.58%$73.29 (−0.31%)
Showing 10 of 28

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