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424B5 ·Filed Jun 26, 2026

SRFM

SURF AIR MOBILITY INC.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001193125-26-285537
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Dilution without cash proceeds is a negative signal for existing holders. Monitor for further dilution from the $74M convertible note held by High Trail Special Situations (up to 19.5M shares) and outstanding warrants. The going concern warning underscores cash burn risks.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SRFM ▼ -17.20% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +17.20% · α vs SPY +21.59% · entry $0.9300 → $0.7700
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 26, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+24.73%
call -24.73% · α -23.95%
$1.16
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+4.30%
call -4.30% · α -2.91%
$0.9700
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-14.94%
call +14.94% · α +14.66%
$0.7911
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-17.20%
call +17.20% · α +21.59%
$0.7700
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Surf Air Mobility Inc. issued 4,761,905 shares of common stock to Palantir Technologies Inc. as consideration for software license fees and professional services. The company received no cash proceeds, resulting in approximately 4.5% dilution for existing shareholders. The stock closed at $1.05 per share on June 23, 2026, valuing the transaction at approximately $5.0 million.

Key Facts

  • 4,761,905 shares of common stock issued to Palantir Technologies Inc. for license fees and services.
  • No cash proceeds received by Surf Air; shares valued at ~$5.0M based on $1.05 closing price.
  • Pro forma shares outstanding: 110,994,594, representing ~4.5% dilution from 106,232,689 shares outstanding.
  • Auditor's report includes a going concern explanatory paragraph (2025 10-K).

Financial Impact

4.5% dilution to existing shareholders; no cash raised.

dilutionshares outstanding

Risk Factors

  • Further dilution from convertible note and warrant exercises.
  • Going concern risk as noted in the 2025 10-K audit report.
  • Potential for continued stock price decline given recent negative performance.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Air Transportation, Nonscheduled
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-285537
Document: 0001193125-26-285537-index-headers.html0001193125-26-285537
Document: 0001193125-26-285537-index.html0001193125-26-285537
Document: 0001193125-26-285537.txt0001193125-26-285537
16 reports for SRFM
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate @ T+60 5 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +32.50%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SRFM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20awaiting T+60—$0.7561 (+36.99%)
Sep 30, 2026
27d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20awaiting T+60—$0.7561 (+36.99%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.20awaiting T+60—$0.7561 (−36.99%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6590awaiting T+60—$0.7561 (+14.73%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.8000awaiting T+60—$0.7561 (−5.49%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7953 $0.8462▼ −6.40%▼ −2.69%$0.7561 (+4.93%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.04 $0.9220▼ −11.35%▼ −14.35%$0.7561 (−27.30%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.04 $0.9220▲ +11.35%▲ +14.30%$0.7561 (+27.30%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9300 $0.7700▼ −17.20%▼ −21.59%$0.7561 (−18.70%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.9300 $0.7700▲ +17.20%▲ +21.59%$0.7561 (+18.70%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Jun 26, 2026