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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 24, 2026

SRFM

SURF AIR MOBILITY INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002730
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor for any subsequent prospectus supplement or 424B filing indicating an actual offering launch. The shelf effectiveness itself is not a trading event, but the overhang may pressure the stock until the company clarifies its capital raise intentions.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
SRFM ▲ +5.92% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +5.92% · α vs SPY +5.90% · entry $0.6590 → $0.6980
Next anchor: T+60d in 22d
Latest observation: T+43 +88.22% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.03%
call +1.03% · α +0.71%
$0.6658
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+6.60%
call +6.60% · α +6.13%
$0.7025
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+5.92%
call +5.92% · α +5.90%
$0.6980
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 22d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Surf Air Mobility's S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-298204) became effective on August 21, 2026. This allows the company to sell securities, including common stock, at its discretion over time, creating a potential dilution overhang for existing shareholders. The effectiveness is a routine procedural step, but the shelf's availability adds uncertainty given the company's small market cap ($89M) and historically poor stock performance.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-298204) declared effective by SEC on August 21, 2026.
  • Company can now offer and sell securities, including common stock, from time to time.
  • Market cap is approximately $89M, making any future offering potentially dilutive.

Financial Impact

Potential future dilution from at-the-market or follow-on offerings; no specific dollar amount disclosed in this filing.

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Future share issuance could dilute existing holders, especially given the small market cap.
  • The company may need to raise capital to fund operations, as suggested by the shelf filing.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Air Transportation, Nonscheduled
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002730
Document: 9999999995-26-002730-index.html9999999995-26-002730
Document: 9999999995-26-002730.txt9999999995-26-002730
16 reports for SRFM
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate @ T+60 6 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 9 best @ T+60▲ +32.50%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SRFM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20awaiting T+60—$0.7120 (+40.67%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20awaiting T+60—$0.7120 (+40.67%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.20awaiting T+60—$0.7120 (−40.67%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.6590awaiting T+60—$0.7120 (+8.04%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.8000awaiting T+60—$0.7120 (−11.00%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.7953 $0.8462▼ −6.40%▼ −2.69%$0.7120 (+10.47%)
Jul 2, 2026
16w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$1.04 $0.9220▼ −11.35%▼ −14.35%$0.7120 (−31.54%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.04 $0.9220▲ +11.35%▲ +14.30%$0.7120 (+31.54%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.9300 $0.7700▼ −17.20%▼ −21.59%$0.7120 (−23.44%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.9300 $0.7700▲ +17.20%▲ +21.59%$0.7120 (+23.44%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Aug 24, 2026