The KKR transaction closing and the final 2027-2031 capital plan announcement (expected in February 2027) are the next catalysts. Monitor the CPUC proposed decision outcome for potential impact on 2027 California utility earnings.
How the stock moved after the report
⚠ Clustered BULLISH VIEWSTOCK BELOW ENTRY AT T+1- T+0 · Nov 5 $79.83entry
- T+1 · 6d ago −2.08%α −2.39% · $78.17
- T+4 · todayOpen
- T+5 · in 10h Pending
- T+20 · in 22d Pending
- T+60 · in 3mo Pending
Price Chart
How similar events traded
Executive Summary
Sempra reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.40, beating the $1.21 consensus by 15.7%, on revenue of $3.19B versus $3.31B consensus (a miss). GAAP EPS was $1.34, up from $0.12 a year ago. The company updated its 2026 GAAP EPS guidance range to $7.41-$8.41, guided to the high end of its adjusted EPS range of $4.80-$5.30, and affirmed 2027 EPS guidance of $5.10-$5.70. Oncor's base capital plan is expected to increase ~20% for 2027-2031, and the sale of a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners to KKR is expected to close within two weeks.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Q3 2026 GAAP EPS $1.34 vs $0.12 YoY; adjusted EPS $1.40 vs $1.11 YoY
- Adjusted EPS of $1.40 beat consensus of $1.21 by 15.7%
- Q3 2026 revenue $3.191B vs consensus $3.31B (miss)
- Revenue declined 1.3% YoY from $3.151B (Q3 2025) to $3.191B (Q3 2026)
- Updated 2026 GAAP EPS guidance range to $7.41-$8.41; guiding to high end of adjusted EPS range $4.80-$5.30
- Affirmed 2027 EPS guidance range $5.10-$5.70 and long-term EPS growth rate of 7%-9%
- Oncor projects ~20% increase in 2027-2031 base capital plan vs 2026-2030 plan
- Sale of 45% equity interest in Sempra Infrastructure Partners to KKR expected to close in next two weeks
- CPUC proposed decision denying SoCalGas and SDG&E's 2024 GRC capital attrition mechanism request could push 2027 earnings to low end of segment guidance
Financial Impact
Adjusted EPS beat consensus by $0.19 (15.7%); GAAP EPS guidance raised to $7.41-$8.41; Oncor capital plan increase of ~20% implies billions in additional regulated investment
Segment Breakdown
| Segment | Revenue | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| Sempra California | $2.7B | +4.6% |
| Sempra Texas Utilities | $474.0M | -14.6% |
| Sempra Infrastructure | $3.2B | +1.2% |
Risk Factors
- CPUC proposed decision could reduce 2027 California utility earnings to low end of guidance
- Revenue miss in Q3 despite strong EPS beat
- Regulatory disallowances of $149M after-tax booked in Q3
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic) | press-prn-302930206 |
Track record
13 reports on SRE
The track record builds as more bullish or bearish reports settle.
Filters
- Nov 11, 2026today Press Release Neutral 2/10 Entry $78.56 Now $78.38 −0.23% settles Nov 13
- Nov 5, 20266d ago 8-K Bullish 6/10 No price data
- Nov 5, 20266d ago Press Release Bullish 6/10 Viewing Entry $79.83 to $78.17 Now $78.38 −1.82% ▼ −2.08% −2.39% vs SPY
- Aug 6, 202613w ago Press Release Neutral Not scored Entry $84.35 to $83.88 Now $78.38 −7.08% ▼ −0.56% −1.17% vs SPY
- Jun 16, 202621w ago 8-K Neutral 3/10 Entry $91.77 to $90.25 Now $78.38 −14.59% ▼ −1.66% −0.41% vs SPY
- May 19, 202625w ago Insider Cluster Neutral 3/10 Entry $91.46 to $91.55 Now $78.38 −14.30% ▲ +0.10% −0.10% vs SPY
- Mar 27, 202632w ago DEFA14A Neutral 3/10 Entry $95.88 to $96.58 Now $78.38 −18.25% ▲ +0.73% +1.09% vs SPY
- Mar 12, 202635w ago Insider Cluster Bearish 6/10 Entry $92.54 to $94.45 Now $78.38 +15.31% ▼ −2.06% −2.66% vs SPY
- Mar 11, 202635w ago Insider Cluster Mixed 5/10 Entry $93.19 to $95.11 Now $78.38 −15.89% ▲ +2.06% +2.63% vs SPY
- Mar 9, 202635w ago Insider Cluster Neutral 4/10 Entry $92.86 to $92.33 Now $78.38 −15.60% ▼ −0.58% −0.39% vs SPY
US Market Status
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