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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 9, 2026

SMPL

Simply Good Foods USA, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The beat vs consensus is overshadowed by sharply lower guidance and continued Atkins erosion. Watch for further distribution losses, margin pressure from input costs, and whether the turnaround initiatives can stabilize the top line. The stock may face selling pressure on the weak outlook despite the headline beat.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SMPL ▼ -24.44% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +24.44% · α vs SPY +26.08% · entry $13.01 → $9.83
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.84%
call +1.84% · α +2.28%
$12.77
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-7.23%
call +7.23% · α +7.09%
$12.07
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-14.14%
call +14.14% · α +16.38%
$11.17
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-24.44%
call +24.44% · α +26.08%
$9.83
settled 26d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Simply Good Foods reported Q3 FY2026 adjusted EPS of $0.42 (20% beat vs $0.35 consensus) on revenue of $357.0M (7.3% beat vs $332.6M consensus), but revenue declined 6.3% YoY, gross margin contracted 390 bps to 32.5%, and the company recorded an $82M impairment charge. Guidance was meaningfully lowered: FY2026 net sales now expected to decline 6-7% YoY and adjusted EBITDA to fall 19-21%, signaling continued fundamental deterioration despite the quarterly beat.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.42
est $0.35 · +20.0%
Revenue
$357.0M
est $332.6M · +7.3% · -6.3% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$1.345B-$1.355B
lowered
Free Cash Flow
$92.1M
Gross Margin
32.5%

Key Facts

  • Q3 net sales $357.0M, down 6.3% YoY, driven by Atkins decline of 24.6%
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.42 vs $0.35 consensus, but down 17.6% YoY from $0.51
  • GAAP net loss of $52.0M vs net income of $41.1M a year ago
  • Gross margin 32.5%, down 390 bps, including $6.2M restructuring costs
  • Recorded $82M non-cash impairment charge on goodwill and intangible assets
  • FY2026 guidance lowered: net sales $1.345-$1.355B (-6% to -7% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $220-$225M (-19% to -21%)
  • Q4 guidance: net sales $322-$332M (-13% to -10% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $52-$57M
  • Year-to-date operating cash flow $102.2M, down from $133.1M
  • Repurchased 2.1M shares for ~$25M during the quarter

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 6.3% YoY and adjusted EBITDA guidance cut of ~20% YoY, with $82M impairment charge

revenuegross marginadjusted EBITDAnet incomeimpairment charges

Risk Factors

  • Continued share losses for Atkins brand (distribution declines and weak retail takeaway)
  • Input cost inflation and tariff exposure compressing margins further
  • High leverage (Net debt/EBITDA 1.2x) limits financial flexibility
  • Impairment signals potential further write-downs if revenue projections deteriorate

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Food and Kindred Products
Analyst Consensus
53% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3324686
12 reports for SMPL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +24.44%Jul 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SMPL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$10.78awaiting T+5—$9.75 (+9.55%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$11.09awaiting T+5—$9.75 (+12.08%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$9.96 $10.55▲ +5.87%▲ +6.01%$9.75 (−2.11%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.01 $12.07▲ +7.23%▲ +7.09%$9.75 (+25.06%)
Jul 9, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.01 $12.07▲ +7.23%▲ +7.09%$9.75 (+25.06%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$12.63 $12.29▼ −2.69%▼ −1.03%$9.75 (−22.80%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$12.64 $12.14▼ −3.96%▼ −4.39%$9.75 (−22.86%)
Apr 21, 2026
27w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.41 $13.79▲ +11.12%▲ +10.04%$9.75 (−21.43%)
Apr 9, 2026
28w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$11.80 $11.61▲ +1.61%▲ +4.80%$9.75 (+17.37%)
Apr 9, 2026
28w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$11.80 $11.61▲ +1.61%▲ +4.80%$9.75 (+17.37%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 18m)

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Report published Jul 9, 2026