6-K ·Filed May 29, 2026

SID

NATIONAL STEEL CO
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001292814-26-003249
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Watch for margin recovery in steel segment and cash flow generation in coming quarters given the large debt load and the US$1.2B bridge loan refinancing. Monitor the outcome of the US$1B arbitration and the R$48.3B in possible-risk tax/labor contingencies. The 20-F filed 29 days ago provides annual context for these quarterly trends.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SID ▼ -22.14% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +22.14% · α vs SPY +23.37% · entry $1.31 → $1.02
Entry anchored
May 29, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+8.40%
call -8.40% · α -8.25%
$1.42
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-9.92%
call +9.92% · α +7.17%
$1.18
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-30.15%
call +30.15% · α +28.85%
$0.9150
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-22.14%
call +22.14% · α +23.37%
$1.02
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CSN reported Q1 2026 results via 6-K showing net revenue of R$10.6B, down 2.8% YoY from R$10.9B. Net loss narrowed to R$555M from R$731M YoY, but operating profit (EBIT-like) collapsed 67% to R$294M from R$888M. Net cash from operating activities was negative R$777M. The mining segment drove profitability with R$861M operating profit, while steel segment posted a R$265M operating loss. The company secured a US$1.2B bridge loan (post-quarter) to refinance near-term maturities and fully redeemed its 2026 senior notes. Despite aggressive M&A spending (~R$1.9B cash deployed in 2025), fundamentals remain weak with negative free cash flow and mounting legal contingencies of ~R$48.3B in possible-risk claims.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 consolidated net revenue declined to R$10.6B from R$10.9B YoY, a 2.8% drop
  • Consolidated net loss narrowed to R$555M from R$731M YoY
  • Operating profit (EBIT) plunged to R$294M from R$888M YoI, down 67%
  • Steel segment posted an operating loss of R$265M (vs +R$61M YoY)
  • Mining segment operating profit declined to R$861M from R$1.04B YoY
  • Consolidated net cash from operations was negative R$777M
  • Total debt stood at R$50.4B, with net leverage at 3.17x equity
  • Post-quarter: secured a US$1.2B bridge loan (up to US$1.4B) for debt refinancing and fully redeemed US$189.9M Senior Unsecured Notes due 2026
  • Contingent liabilities classified as possible risk total ~R$48.3B, including a US$1B arbitration claim
  • Cash and equivalents fell to R$12.8B from R$14.4B at year-end 2025
  • CAPEX spending remained elevated at R$1.13B in the quarter

Financial Impact

Consolidated revenue declined by R$304M (-2.8%) YoY; operating profit fell by R$593M (-67%); net loss improved by R$176M driven by lower financial expenses and higher deferred tax credits, but operating cash flow negative at -R$777M

revenueoperating_profitnet_incomeoperating_cash_flowdebt

Risk Factors

  • Operating cash flow negative for two consecutive quarters (-R$777M Q1 2026, -R$1.15B Q1 2025)
  • Massive contingent liabilities of R$48.3B classified as possible risk could materialize
  • US$1B arbitration claim outstanding against the company
  • High leverage with gross debt to equity ratio of 3.17x
  • Steel segment operating loss of R$265M signals core business stress

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-003249
Document: 0001292814-26-003249-index-headers.html0001292814-26-003249
Document: 0001292814-26-003249-index.html0001292814-26-003249
Document: 0001292814-26-003249.txt0001292814-26-003249
7 reports for SID
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +37.72%Aug 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SID — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.20 $1.10▼ −8.33%▼ −9.15%$1.16 (−3.33%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$0.8997 $0.8913▼ −0.93%▲ +1.03%$1.16 (+28.93%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.8700 $0.9037▼ −3.87%▼ −4.28%$1.16 (−33.33%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.8700 $0.9037▼ −3.87%▼ −4.28%$1.16 (−33.33%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.9004 $0.9001▼ −0.03%▲ +0.01%$1.16 (+28.83%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$0.9856 $0.9287▲ +5.77%▲ +9.28%$1.16 (−17.69%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.31 $1.18▲ +9.92%▲ +7.17%$1.16 (+11.45%)
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (35h 10m)

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