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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

SFD

Smithfield Foods, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The guidance cut signals management expects continued margin pressure from higher input costs and cautious consumer spending. Monitor the Packaged Meats segment for further margin erosion and the Hog Production segment for sustainability of profit recovery. The stock may face downward pressure as the market reprices FY2026 expectations.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
SFD ▼ -14.07% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +14.07% · α vs SPY +13.01% · entry $23.88 → $20.52
Next anchor: T+60d in 8d
Latest observation: T+52 +19.29% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.77%
call +4.77% · α +5.02%
$22.74
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-5.65%
call +5.65% · α +5.25%
$22.53
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-14.07%
call +14.07% · α +13.01%
$20.52
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Smithfield Foods reported Q2 FY2026 EPS of $0.60 (GAAP) vs. $0.60 consensus, in line with expectations, and net sales of $3.7B, down 2.3% YoY. The company lowered its full-year adjusted operating profit guidance to $1.225B-$1.375B from $1.325B-$1.475B, citing macroeconomic headwinds and cautious consumer spending, which is the primary negative catalyst for the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.60
est $0.60 · 0.0%
Revenue
$3.7B
est $3.6B · +1.4% · -2.3% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
roughly flat vs FY2025
lowered
Free Cash Flow
$39.0M
Gross Margin
12.9%

Key Facts

  • Q2 FY2026 GAAP EPS of $0.60 vs. consensus of $0.60 (in line).
  • Q2 net sales of $3.7B, down 2.3% YoY from $3.786B.
  • Full-year FY2026 adjusted operating profit guidance lowered to $1.225B-$1.375B from $1.325B-$1.475B.
  • Packaged Meats segment operating profit fell 12% YoY to $265M; margin contracted 139 bps to 13.1%.
  • Hog Production segment operating profit surged 192% YoY to $64M, partially offsetting weakness in Packaged Meats.
  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio remains low at 0.4x; quarterly dividend of $0.3125 declared.

Financial Impact

Full-year adjusted operating profit guidance reduced by $100M at the midpoint ($1.3B vs. prior $1.4B), a ~7% cut.

revenueoperating profitguidance

Risk Factors

  • Further consumer spending weakness pressuring Packaged Meats volumes and margins.
  • Higher input costs (feed, labor) not fully offset by pricing or productivity gains.
  • Execution risk on cost-saving initiatives and the proposed Nathan's Famous acquisition.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Meat Packing Plants
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3342437
13 reports for SFD
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +19.27%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SFD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.64awaiting T+20—$18.31 (−1.77%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.86 $18.27▼ −8.01%▼ −7.10%$18.31 (−7.80%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.88 $20.52▲ +14.07%▲ +13.01%$18.31 (+23.32%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.88 $20.52▲ +14.07%▲ +13.01%$18.31 (+23.32%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$25.40 $21.97▼ −13.50%▼ −13.11%$18.31 (−27.91%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$26.58 $24.81▼ −6.66%▼ −8.55%$18.31 (−31.11%)
Apr 28, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$26.88 $26.25▼ −2.36%▼ −7.83%$18.31 (−31.88%)
Apr 28, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.88 $26.25▼ −2.36%▼ −7.83%$18.31 (−31.88%)
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.00 $25.68▼ −11.45%▼ −16.36%$18.31 (−36.86%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$29.00 $24.93▼ −14.03%▼ −19.41%$18.31 (−36.86%)
Showing 10 of 13

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Report published Aug 11, 2026