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8-K ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

SFD

SMITHFIELD FOODS INC
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0000091388-26-000052
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The lowered full-year guidance is the dominant signal here, indicating management sees material headwinds from consumer spending and input costs. Traders should expect the stock to trade down on the revenue miss and guidance cut, despite the EPS beat. Monitor consumer spending data and pork commodity prices for further deterioration.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
SFD ▼ -14.07% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +14.07% · α vs SPY +13.01% · entry $23.88 → $20.52
Next anchor: T+60d in 8d
Latest observation: T+52 +19.29% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.77%
call +4.77% · α +5.02%
$22.74
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-5.65%
call +5.65% · α +5.25%
$22.53
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-14.07%
call +14.07% · α +13.01%
$20.52
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Smithfield Foods reported Q2 fiscal 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.60, beating the consensus estimate of $0.60 by 4.0% on a GAAP basis, while revenue of $3.7B missed the $3.65B consensus by 1.4%. The headline miss on revenue and a significant downward revision to full-year adjusted operating profit guidance (to $1.225B-$1.375B from $1.325B-$1.475B) citing cautious consumer spending and higher input costs overshadow the EPS beat and record first-half operating profit, making this a bearish event.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.60
est $0.60 · 0.0%
Revenue
$3.7B
est $3.6B · +1.4% · -2.3% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
roughly flat compared to fiscal year 2025
lowered
Free Cash Flow
$39.0M
Gross Margin
12.9%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.60 vs consensus $0.60 (beat by 4.0%)
  • Q2 2026 revenue of $3.7B vs consensus $3.65B (miss by 1.4%)
  • Revenue declined 2.3% YoY to $3.7B
  • Full-year FY 2026 adjusted operating profit guidance lowered to $1.225B-$1.375B from $1.325B-$1.475B
  • Packaged Meats segment operating profit fell 12.0% YoY to $265M
  • Net income attributable to Smithfield rose 26.6% YoY to $238M
  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio remained low at 0.4x
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.3125 per share

Financial Impact

Full-year adjusted operating profit guidance cut by $100M at the midpoint, from $1.4B to $1.3B

revenueoperating profitguidance

Risk Factors

  • Further consumer spending slowdown pressuring packaged meats volumes
  • Higher-than-expected feed and input costs compressing margins
  • Execution risk on Hog Production Reform and cost-saving initiatives

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Meat Packing Plants
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000091388-26-000052
Document: sfd-20260811.htm0000091388-26-000052
Document: 0000091388-26-000052-index-headers.html0000091388-26-000052
Document: 0000091388-26-000052-index.html0000091388-26-000052
Document: 0000091388-26-000052.txt0000091388-26-000052
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000091388-26-000052
15 reports for SFD
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +19.27%Mar 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SFD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$18.65awaiting T+20—$18.32 (+1.80%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$17.26awaiting T+20—$18.32 (−6.11%)
Oct 16, 2026
11d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.64awaiting T+20—$18.32 (−1.74%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.86 $18.27▼ −8.01%▼ −7.10%$18.32 (−7.78%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.88 $20.52▲ +14.07%▲ +13.01%$18.32 (+23.30%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.88 $20.52▲ +14.07%▲ +13.01%$18.32 (+23.30%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$25.40 $21.97▼ −13.50%▼ −13.11%$18.32 (−27.89%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$26.58 $24.81▼ −6.66%▼ −8.55%$18.32 (−31.09%)
Apr 28, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$26.88 $26.25▼ −2.36%▼ −7.83%$18.32 (−31.86%)
Apr 28, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.88 $26.25▼ −2.36%▼ −7.83%$18.32 (−31.86%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published Aug 11, 2026