DEFA14A ·Filed Mar 3, 2026

SEM

SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORP
BULLISH
Impact 9/10
Horizonmonths Processed7mo ago SEC0001104659-26-022581
Proxy solicitation materials
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Traders should monitor for potential arbitrage opportunities between the current stock price and the $16.50 offer price, while watching for regulatory approval timelines and any competing bids. The significant insider rollover suggests strong confidence in the company's future prospects under private ownership.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SEM ▲ +1.54% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.54% · α vs SPY -8.78% · entry $16.26 → $16.51
Entry anchored
Mar 2, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.06%
call -0.06% · α -0.82%
$16.25
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.48%
$16.26
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+0.18%
call +0.18% · α +4.59%
$16.29
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+1.54%
call +1.54% · α -8.78%
$16.51
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Select Medical Holdings Corporation (SEM) has agreed to be acquired by a consortium led by its Executive Chairman Robert A. Ortenzio, Senior Executive Vice President Martin F. Jackson, and private equity firm Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe (WCAS) for $16.50 per share in cash, representing a total enterprise value of $3.9 billion. The transaction, approved by a special committee of independent directors, will take SEM private and is expected to close in mid-2026 subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals.

Key Facts

  • All-in cash offer of $16.50 per share, representing an 18% premium to SEM's unaffected share price as of November 24, 2025, and a 25% premium to its 90-day volume-weighted average price
  • Total enterprise value of $3.9 billion
  • Transaction to be financed through committed debt and equity financing, with no financing condition
  • Key insiders (Ortenzio, Jackson, and WCAS) holding ~11.8% of shares will roll over their equity into the new entity
  • Expected closing in mid-2026, subject to shareholder approval (excluding insiders), regulatory approvals including HSR, and other customary conditions
  • If terminated under certain circumstances, SEM would pay a termination fee of $66.5 million, while the buyer would pay $133 million if they fail to close after conditions are satisfied

Financial Impact

Cash consideration of $16.50 per share for all outstanding shares not rolled over, with a total enterprise value of $3.9 billion

share priceenterprise valueequity ownership

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain required shareholder or regulatory approvals
  • Potential for competing bids that could increase the offer price
  • Integration risks if the deal closes

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-022581
Document: tm267827d2_defa14a.htm0001104659-26-022581
Document: tm267827d2_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-022581
Document: 0001104659-26-022581-index-headers.html0001104659-26-022581
Document: 0001104659-26-022581-index.html0001104659-26-022581
Document: 0001104659-26-022581.txt0001104659-26-022581
8 reports for SEM
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +0.43%Apr 15, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SEM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
15-12G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
—awaiting T+1——
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 9/10
$16.52 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1——
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$16.52 awaiting T+1awaiting T+1——
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$16.53 $16.51▼ −0.12%▼ −0.90%—
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$16.38 $16.38· 0.00%▼ −0.34%—
Apr 15, 2026
24w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$16.38 $16.39▲ +0.06%▼ −0.19%—
Mar 4, 2026
30w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.25 $16.25· 0.00%▲ +0.57%—
Mar 3, 2026
30w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 9/10
$16.26 $16.25▼ −0.06%▼ −0.82%—
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

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