PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 12, 2026

SEAT

Vivid Seats LLC
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The stock may face further downside as the business contracts and investors question the viability of the platform. The massive impairment suggests fundamental deterioration in asset values. Monitor whether the cost-cutting program can stabilize margins, but expect continued revenue pressure. Short interest could rise given deteriorating fundamentals and negative cash flow trend.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SEAT ▲ +51.86% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -51.86% · α vs SPY -41.16% · entry $5.65 → $8.58
Entry anchored
Mar 11, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+4.42%
call -4.42% · α -5.02%
$5.90
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+7.79%
call -7.79% · α -8.77%
$6.09
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+7.26%
call -7.26% · α -5.28%
$6.06
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+51.86%
call -51.86% · α -41.16%
$8.58
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Vivid Seats reported sharply declining financial performance for Q4 and full-year 2025, with revenue down 37% and 26% respectively, and a massive net loss of $721.5 million driven by a $723 million impairment charge. Despite management's optimism about cost reductions and app improvements, the company's fundamentals are deteriorating rapidly. Guidance for 2026 suggests continued revenue contraction and margin pressure.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$570.8M
-26.4% YoY
EPS
$-61.50
Guidance
$2.2B-$2.6B
lowered

Key Facts

  • Q4 2025 revenue was $126.8 million, down 37% YoY from $199.8 million
  • Full-year 2025 revenue was $570.8 million, down 26% from $775.6 million in 2024
  • Net loss for 2025 was $721.5 million vs. net income of $14.3 million in 2024
  • Adjusted EBITDA fell 72% to $41.8 million from $151.4 million in 2024
  • Company took $723 million in impairment charges, primarily on goodwill and intangible assets
  • Guidance for 2026 calls for Marketplace GOV of $2.2B-$2.6B, down from $2.7B in 2025
  • Cash balance dropped to $102.7 million from $243.5 million in one year

Financial Impact

Revenue down $204.8 million YoY, $723 million in asset impairments, cash balance down $140.8 million

revenueepscashgoodwillintangible_assetsnet_income

Risk Factors

  • Continued decline in marketplace transaction volume and revenue
  • Further asset impairments if stock price and performance don't recover
  • Liquidity risk as cash balance falls while operating losses continue
  • Execution risk in turnaround strategy with shrinking top line

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3254419
5 reports for SEAT
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +36.69%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SEAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.54 $6.04▲ +36.69%▲ +35.45%$3.83 (+59.85%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.16 $9.41▼ −31.42%▼ −26.47%$3.83 (+46.51%)
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$7.24 $8.16▲ +12.71%▲ +9.54%$3.83 (−47.10%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$5.65 $6.06▼ −7.26%▼ −5.28%$3.83 (+32.21%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$5.65 $6.06▼ −7.26%▼ −5.28%$3.83 (+32.21%)
Showing 5 of 5

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Report published Mar 12, 2026