Institutional Cluster

SCLX

Scilex Holding Co
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster lacks conviction as all participants are passive index funds making routine adjustments. No fundamental catalyst is evident. Monitor for any material corporate events (earnings, regulatory news) that could drive price action, as the stock's small market cap and low liquidity amplify volatility.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SCLX ▼ -37.76% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -37.76% · α vs SPY -42.15% · entry $8.70 → $5.42
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 05:04 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.30%
call -2.30% · α -2.84%
$8.50
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-20.23%
call -20.23% · α -20.66%
$6.94
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+5.75%
call +5.75% · α +3.86%
$9.20
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-37.76%
call -37.76% · α -42.15%
$5.42
settled 25d ago

Executive Summary

A small institutional cluster for Scilex Holding Co (SCLX) shows three passive buyers (State Street, Morgan Stanley, BofA) adding $1.2M in value and two passive sellers (BlackRock, Wells Fargo) trimming positions, with net value change of ~$102K. All participants are mega-passive index funds, indicating routine rebalancing rather than conviction-driven activity. The cluster is too small and passive to carry a directional signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$1.5M
Sell Value
$781.0K
Net Flow
$101.5K

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $101.5K

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State StreetDOUBLED+181.2%$658.0K$588.0K
Morgan StanleyADD+28.3%$456.0K$349.0K
BofAADD+81%$342.0K$286.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BlackRockTRIM-25.7%$779.0K-$1.1M
Wells FargoTRIM-60.4%$2.0K-$496.00

Key Facts

  • 3 buyers (all mega-passive) added $1.2M in value: State Street doubled holdings (+181.2%, $70K→$658K), Morgan Stanley added (+28.3%, $106K→$456K), BofA added (+81.0%, $57K→$342K).
  • 2 sellers (both mega-passive) trimmed: BlackRock reduced shares 25.7% (132.3K→98.4K) but value rose $779K→$1.9M due to price appreciation; Wells Fargo trimmed 60.4% (260→103 shares) with negligible value change.
  • Net value change across all positions is approximately +$102K, reflecting mixed passive rebalancing.
  • Total current holdings of tracked institutions in this cluster are ~$3.4M, representing a tiny fraction of SCLX's $75M market cap.
  • Historical calibration for SCLX shows poor prior call performance (avg T+20 P&L -9.29%, win rate 25%), reinforcing low conviction in this cluster signal.

Financial Impact

3 passive institutions accumulated $1.2M in new value while 2 passive institutions reduced positions, resulting in a net increase of ~$102K in tracked holdings. Total cluster value is ~$3.4M.

institutional_ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Small market cap ($75M) and low liquidity increase price sensitivity to any news flow.
  • Historical reports on SCLX have shown poor predictive performance, with negative average returns at T+20.
  • Passive fund activity provides no directional thesis; the cluster may already be stale given the 45-day 13F reporting lag.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-SCLX-2025-Q3
11 reports for SCLX
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +36.82%Jun 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SCLX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$7.39 $5.80▼ −21.52%▼ −24.82%—
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$8.07 $6.67▼ −17.41%▼ −16.84%—
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.80 $7.03▲ +9.87%▲ +8.84%—
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.50 $9.48▲ +11.53%▲ +9.75%—
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$8.50 $9.48▼ −11.53%▼ −9.75%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.70 $9.20▲ +5.75%▲ +3.86%—
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.72 $7.81▲ +65.47%▲ +66.85%—
May 5, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$6.68 $4.46▼ −33.18%▼ −37.39%—
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.94 $4.61▼ −33.63%▼ −39.42%—
Apr 17, 2026
24w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$4.30 $3.92▼ −8.84%▼ −12.93%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (56h 20m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026