Institutional Cluster

SAP

SAP SE
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The cluster shows strong institutional accumulation, particularly from passive managers, but the active value fund (Causeway) adds conviction. Given the 45-day 13F reporting lag, monitor for any recent earnings or guidance updates that may have altered the thesis. The net buying is modest relative to SAP's $209B market cap, so the signal is moderate.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
SAP ▲ +31.45% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +31.45% · α vs SPY +27.06% · entry $163.64 → $215.11
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 06:17 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.33%
call +0.33% · α -0.21%
$164.18
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-2.96%
call -2.96% · α -3.40%
$158.79
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-3.17%
call -3.17% · α -5.06%
$158.46
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+31.45%
call +31.45% · α +27.06%
$215.11
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Three major institutions (Morgan Stanley, UBS, Causeway) added $184.2M in SAP positions during Q3 2025, while Citadel trimmed $5.84M. The net buying is dominated by passive index rebalancing but includes an active value fund, signaling broad institutional confidence in SAP's enterprise software outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$1.3B
Sell Value
$17.0M
Net Flow
$178.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $178.4M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyADD+30.2%$1.2B$152.5M
UBSADD+47%$66.2M$15.0M
Causeway CapitalADD+68.4%$51.8M$16.8M

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
CitadelTRIM-25.2%$17.0M-$5.8M

Key Facts

  • Morgan Stanley added 1.05M shares (+30.2%), increasing its position value by $152.5M to $1.21B
  • UBS added 79.3K shares (+47.0%), increasing value by $15.0M to $66.2M
  • Causeway Capital added 78.7K shares (+68.4%), increasing value by $16.8M to $51.8M
  • Citadel trimmed 14.1K shares (-25.2%), reducing value by $5.84M to $11.2M
  • Net institutional buying totaled $178.4M across the cluster

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $184.2M in new positions while 1 reduced holdings by $5.84M, for net buying of $178.4M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days old; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Passive buying (Morgan Stanley, UBS) may reflect index rebalancing rather than active conviction
  • Citadel's trim suggests some caution from quant funds

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
74% bullish (39 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-SAP-2025-Q3

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 3h 36m

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Report published Jun 11, 2026