8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

SAIA

SAIA INC
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-324937
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and accelerating top-line growth should drive positive reaction. With no forward guidance, watch the conference call for commentary on pricing, demand trends, and any shift in capex plans. The improved balance sheet and cash generation provide flexibility.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
SAIA ▲ +0.70% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.70% · α vs SPY -3.27% · entry $350.63 → $353.08
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 +14.71% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.86%
call -0.86% · α -1.56%
$347.63
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+3.19%
call +3.19% · α -0.43%
$361.82
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+0.70%
call +0.70% · α -3.27%
$353.08
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Saia reported Q2 2026 revenue of $956.5M (+17.1% YoY) and diluted EPS of $3.51, beating consensus of $3.39 (+3.5%). Operating income rose 26% to $125.2M and the operating ratio improved to 86.9% from 87.8%. The strong results mark a clear acceleration from Q1's flat EPS and 2.4% revenue growth, driven by record tonnage, shipment growth, and disciplined execution. No forward guidance was provided beyond reiterating the $350-400M capex range.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$3.51
est $3.39 · +3.5%
Revenue
$956.5M
est $956.2M · +0.0% · +17.1% YoY
Rating
beat
Free Cash Flow
$130.2M

Key Facts

  • Revenue: $956.5M, +17.1% YoY (vs $817.1M in Q2 2025)
  • Diluted EPS: $3.51, +31.5% YoY (vs $2.67) and beat consensus of $3.39 by 3.5%
  • Operating income: $125.2M, +26.0% YoY
  • Operating ratio improved to 86.9% from 87.8%
  • LTL tonnage per workday +8.4%, shipments per workday +4.4%
  • Record-low claims ratio of 0.3%
  • Net debt reduced to $100.1M from $309.1M a year ago
  • Cash flow from operations (6M 2026): $291.2M; free cash flow (6M 2026): $130.2M after capex of $161.1M
  • Capex guidance maintained at $350-400M for full year 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue +17.1% YoY, EPS +31.5% YoY, operating margin expanded ~90bps

revenueepsoperating incomeoperating ratiodebt

Risk Factors

  • Fuel surcharge revenue per cwt declined 2.2% YoY, indicating pricing headwinds
  • LTL revenue per hundredweight ex-fuel fell 2.2%
  • Macroeconomic slowdown could pressure freight volumes
  • Execution risk on network expansion (218 terminals now vs 214 a year ago)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Trucking (No Local)
Analyst Consensus
50% bullish (26 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-324937
Document: saia-20260730.htm0001193125-26-324937
Document: 0001193125-26-324937-index-headers.html0001193125-26-324937
Document: 0001193125-26-324937-index.html0001193125-26-324937
Document: 0001193125-26-324937.txt0001193125-26-324937
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-324937
11 reports for SAIA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +25.75%Jun 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SAIA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$345.81 $351.05▲ +1.52%▲ +2.66%$351.44 (+1.63%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$345.81 $351.05▲ +1.52%▲ +2.66%$351.44 (+1.63%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$350.63 $361.82▲ +3.19%▼ −0.43%$351.44 (+0.23%)
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$418.15 $416.00▼ −0.51%▼ −0.78%$351.44 (−15.95%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$487.14 $425.86▼ −12.58%▼ −13.01%$351.44 (−27.86%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$471.15 $479.30▲ +1.73%▲ +4.69%$351.44 (−25.41%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$471.15 $479.30▼ −1.73%▼ −4.69%$351.44 (+25.41%)
May 6, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$448.94 $431.42▼ −3.90%▼ −5.41%$351.44 (−21.72%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$448.82 $448.94▲ +0.03%▼ −1.70%$351.44 (−21.70%)
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$351.28 $400.31▲ +13.96%▲ +10.01%$351.44 (+0.05%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

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