The stock may react positively to the significant Adjusted EBITDA improvement and 2026 guidance, but investors should monitor whether the modest revenue growth guidance can be achieved and whether traffic trends continue to improve after a full year of decline.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Red Robin reported full-year 2025 results showing a 2.2% decline in total revenue to $1.21 billion and a net loss of $23.3 million, but achieved a 53% year-over-year increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $69.7 million due to improved restaurant-level profitability and cost controls. The company guided for modest comparable restaurant revenue growth of 0.5%-1.5% in 2026 and Adjusted EBITDA of $70-$73 million, signaling stabilization after a challenging year.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Full-year 2025 revenue declined 3.1% YoY to $1.21 billion
- Comparable restaurant revenue decreased 0.3% YoY (excluding deferred loyalty revenue)
- Adjusted EBITDA increased 53% YoY to $69.7 million
- Restaurant level operating profit margin improved 190 bps to 12.7%
- Company guided for 2026 comparable restaurant revenue growth of 0.5%-1.5% and Adjusted EBITDA of $70-$73 million
Financial Impact
Revenue down $38.4 million YoY, but Adjusted EBITDA up $24.1 million YoY due to margin improvements and cost controls
Risk Factors
- Continued decline in comparable restaurant revenue and guest traffic
- Execution risk on the 'First Choice' strategic plan
- High leverage with $170.2 million in credit facility borrowings
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| 8-K Filing (Primary) | 0001628280-26-011637 |
| Document: 0001628280-26-011637-index-headers.html | 0001628280-26-011637 |
| Document: 0001628280-26-011637-index.html | 0001628280-26-011637 |
| Document: 0001628280-26-011637.txt | 0001628280-26-011637 |
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 5, 2026 21d ago | 8-K | $8.05 $8.36 | ▲ +3.85% | ▲ +3.30% | $7.97 (−0.99%) |
Sep 17, 2026 5w ago | 8-K | $7.05 $7.01 | ▼ −0.57% | ▼ −2.12% | $7.97 (+13.05%) |
Jun 15, 2026 18w ago | 8-K | $6.05 $6.31 | ▲ +4.30% | ▲ +5.55% | $7.97 (+31.74%) |
May 28, 2026 21w ago | 8-K | $5.06 $5.16 | ▲ +1.98% | ▲ +1.72% | $7.97 (+57.51%) |
May 19, 2026 22w ago | 8-K | $4.55 $4.66 | ▼ −2.42% | ▼ −2.22% | $7.97 (−75.16%) |
May 1, 2026 25w ago | 8-K | $3.58 $3.53 | ▼ −1.40% | ▼ −2.19% | $7.97 (+122.63%) |
Mar 26, 2026 30w ago | DEFA14A | $2.65 $2.59 | ▼ −2.26% | ▼ −1.91% | $7.97 (+200.75%) |
Mar 16, 2026 32w ago | Insider Cluster | $3.27 $3.34 | ▲ +2.14% | ▲ +1.87% | $7.97 (+143.73%) |
Mar 16, 2026 32w ago | Insider Cluster | $3.27 $3.34 | ▲ +2.14% | ▲ +1.87% | $7.97 (+143.73%) |
Feb 25, 2026 34w ago | 8-K | $4.83 $5.03 | ▲ +4.14% | ▲ +4.62% | $7.97 (+65.01%) |
US Market Status
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