8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001874178-26-000053
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong Q2 beat and upward guidance revision across deliveries, EBITDA, and capex signal accelerating execution and improving unit economics as R2 scales. Traders should watch for continued R2 production ramp commentary and the timing of the $1B VW non-recourse loan and $250M Uber equity investment in H2 2026 as catalysts.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
RIVN ▲ +5.12% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.12% · α vs SPY +1.61% · entry $15.22 → $16.00
Next anchor: T+20d due 5w ago
Latest observation: T+43 -24.44% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 30, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.89%
call +0.89% · α -0.54%
$15.36
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+5.12%
call +5.12% · α +1.61%
$16.00
settled 8w ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
due 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Rivian reported Q2 2026 revenue of $1.658B (+27% YoY), beating the $1.57B consensus, and an adjusted EPS of -$0.47, a 39.5% beat vs the -$0.78 estimate. The company began external R2 deliveries, achieved $179M gross profit, and raised its 2026 delivery guidance to 65,000-70,000 units while improving its Adjusted EBITDA and CapEx outlook. The strong beat and guidance raise, coupled with the R2 ramp and robust software & services revenue, signal accelerating operational momentum toward profitability.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.47
est $-0.78 · +39.7%
Revenue
$1.7B
est $1.6B · +5.6% · +27.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
-$849.0M
Gross Margin
11%

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $1.658B (+27% YoY) beat consensus of $1.57B.
  • Adjusted EPS of -$0.47 beat consensus of -$0.78 by 39.5%.
  • Consolidated gross profit of $179M, a $385M improvement YoY.
  • Software & services revenue of $515M (+37% YoY) with 42% gross margin.
  • 2026 delivery guidance raised to 65,000-70,000 units (from 62,000-67,000).
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance improved to $(2.00)B-$(1.80)B from $(2.10)B-$(1.80)B.
  • Capital expenditure guidance reduced to $1.70B-$1.80B from $1.95B-$2.05B.
  • Began external R2 deliveries on June 9, 2026.
  • Ended Q2 with $5.31B cash; pro-forma liquidity of $7.16B after July equity offering.
  • Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $(833)M vs $(1.117)B YoY.

Financial Impact

Revenue beat by ~$88M (5.6%) vs consensus; EPS beat by $0.31 (39.5%) vs consensus; gross profit improved by $385M YoY to $179M.

revenueepsgross profitguidancedelivery volumes

Risk Factors

  • R2 production ramp costs could pressure near-term margins.
  • Cash burn remains high (negative FCF of -$849M in Q2) despite improved liquidity.
  • Execution risk on DOE loan draw and VW/Uber milestone-based investments.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
Analyst Consensus
56% bullish (34 analysts)

Investment Themes

Electric Vehicles

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001874178-26-000053
Exhibit: ex-9922q26rivianearnings.htm0001874178-26-000053
Document: 0001874178-26-000053-index-headers.html0001874178-26-000053
Document: 0001874178-26-000053-index.html0001874178-26-000053
Document: 0001874178-26-000053.txt0001874178-26-000053
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001874178-26-000053
8 reports for RIVN
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +5.73%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RIVN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.22 $16.00▲ +5.12%▲ +1.61%$14.20 (−6.70%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$18.63 $18.12▼ −2.74%▼ −3.67%$14.20 (−23.78%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$15.54 $16.26▼ −4.63%▼ −4.20%$14.20 (+8.62%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.84 $16.68▼ −0.95%▼ −3.06%$14.20 (−15.68%)
May 29, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$16.95 $16.35▲ +3.54%▲ +0.79%$14.20 (+16.22%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
S-3ASR
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.02 $14.18▼ −5.59%▼ −7.94%$14.20 (−5.46%)
Apr 2, 2026
26w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$15.40 $15.43▲ +0.19%▼ −3.42%$14.20 (−7.79%)
Feb 28, 2026
30w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.01 $15.87▲ +5.73%▲ +6.94%$14.20 (−5.40%)
Showing 8 of 8

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