PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

RIG

Transocean Ltd.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The large EPS miss vs consensus and guided Q3 revenue decline outweigh the positive debt reduction trend. Monitor Q3 results for further revenue pressure and whether dayrates can improve as utilization tightens.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
RIG ▲ +16.67% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -16.67% · α vs SPY -16.07% · entry $5.16 → $6.02
Next anchor: T+60d in 27d
Latest observation: T+39 -8.60% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 5, 05:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+1.94%
call -1.94% · α -1.33%
$5.26
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+10.85%
call -10.85% · α -9.64%
$5.72
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+16.67%
call -16.67% · α -16.07%
$6.02
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 27d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Transocean reported Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $0.04, swinging from a -$1.06 loss a year ago, but that swing was entirely driven by the absence of large impairment charges from Q2 2025. Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.03, missing the consensus estimate of $0.01 by 328% (actual $-0.03), while revenue of $966M was in line with $962.9M consensus. The company guided Q3 2026 revenues down to $920-960M, signaling continued near-term pressure despite strong cash flow and debt reduction.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.03
est $0.01 · -328.1%
Revenue
$966.0M
est $962.9M · +0.3% · -2.2% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$920M-$960M
lowered
Free Cash Flow
$212.0M

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS $0.04 vs -$1.06 a year ago (prior year included $1.136B impairment)
  • Adjusted diluted EPS $0.03 vs consensus $0.01 (actual $-0.03, a 328% miss)
  • Revenue $966M vs consensus $962.9M (in line, -2.2% YoY)
  • Adjusted EBITDA $312M (margin 32.2%), down from $344M (34.9%) a year ago
  • Q3 2026 revenue guidance $920-960M, below Q2 actual of $966M
  • Free cash flow improved to $212M from $104M last year
  • Total debt principal reduced to $5.107B from $6.654B YoY
  • Net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 2.8x from 4.7x a year ago

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS miss of 328% vs consensus ($-0.03 actual vs $0.01 estimate); revenue in line; Q3 guidance implies sequential revenue decline of 1-5%

epsrevenueebitdafree cash flowdebt

Risk Factors

  • Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $920-960M implies continued sequential decline
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin compressed to 32.2% from 40.7% in Q1 2026
  • Ultra-deepwater utilization dropped to 72.6% from 82.1% in Q1

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Drilling Oil & Gas Wells
Analyst Consensus
47% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3339819
17 reports for RIG
Performance horizon
90% Hit rate 9 of 10 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +15.43%Apr 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RIG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.94 $5.49▼ −7.58%▼ −9.69%$5.17 (−12.96%)
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.94 $5.49▼ −7.58%▼ −9.69%$5.17 (−12.96%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$6.01 $5.74▼ −4.49%▼ −5.61%$5.17 (−13.98%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.16 $5.72▲ +10.85%▲ +9.64%$5.17 (+0.19%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.16 $5.72▼ −10.85%▼ −9.64%$5.17 (−0.19%)
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.87 $5.02▲ +3.08%▲ +2.82%$5.17 (+6.16%)
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.87 $5.02▲ +3.08%▲ +2.82%$5.17 (+6.16%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.58 $5.04▼ −9.68%▼ −8.64%$5.17 (−7.35%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.18 $6.25▲ +1.13%▼ −0.07%$5.17 (−16.34%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.34 $6.22▼ −15.26%▼ −17.06%$5.17 (−29.56%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (39h 3m)

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Report published Aug 5, 2026