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DEFA14A ·Filed May 4, 2026

RGR

STURM RUGER & CO INC
MIXED
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago SEC0002077096-26-000115
Proxy solicitation materials
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The proxy fight is resolved, removing near-term uncertainty. However, the agreement introduces a multi-year governance overhang with Beretta gaining board influence and a potential tender offer at a fixed minimum price. Monitor CFIUS and HSR approval timelines as triggers for the tender offer and ownership cap increase. The $44.80 tender offer minimum provides a floor, but the stock may trade in a range until regulatory clarity emerges.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RGR ▼ -7.78% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -7.78% · α vs SPY -9.64% · entry $40.99 → $37.80
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.90%
call +1.90% · α +1.11%
$41.77
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-8.32%
call -8.32% · α -11.26%
$37.58
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-5.00%
call -5.00% · α -10.65%
$38.94
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-7.78%
call -7.78% · α -9.64%
$37.80
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Sturm, Ruger & Co. and competitor Beretta Holding S.A. entered into a cooperation agreement on May 2, 2026, ending Beretta's proxy contest for the 2026 annual meeting. The agreement grants Beretta the right to designate up to two board seats (subject to CFIUS approval and minimum ownership thresholds), imposes a perpetual ownership cap (10% initially, rising to 25% post-regulatory approvals), and requires Beretta to commence a partial tender offer for up to 2,400,184 shares at a minimum of $44.80 per share once regulatory conditions are satisfied. The proxy fight is resolved, but the deal introduces a complex governance structure with a potential future tender offer and ongoing regulatory hurdles.

Key Facts

  • Beretta Holding withdrew its director nominations for the 2026 annual meeting and ceased all solicitation efforts.
  • Beretta can designate up to two board seats after the 2026 annual meeting, subject to CFIUS approval and maintaining beneficial ownership of 20% (for two seats) or 15% (for one seat) of common stock.
  • Beretta is subject to a perpetual ownership cap: 10% initially, increasing to 25% after receipt of CFIUS and HSR approvals.
  • Beretta must commence a tender offer for up to 2,400,184 shares (15.05% of outstanding) at a minimum of $44.80 per share, no later than 45 days after regulatory conditions are satisfied.
  • The board agreed not to recommend against the tender offer, subject to fiduciary duties and Beretta's compliance.
  • Beretta has preemptive rights to participate in future cash issuances of common stock to maintain its ownership percentage.
  • Beretta is subject to a standstill until 30 days before the 2029 annual meeting nomination deadline (or earlier if CFIUS approval is not obtained).
  • A perpetual mirror voting obligation applies to Beretta's shares above 10% (rising to 20% after the standstill end date).
  • The agreement includes provisions for a special committee of independent directors to review any restricted transactions between the parties.

Financial Impact

Potential tender offer of up to 2,400,184 shares at a minimum of $44.80 per share, implying a maximum cash consideration of approximately $107.5 million. The tender offer price represents a premium to the current stock price, but the deal is contingent on regulatory approvals and has not yet commenced.

ownership structureshare pricedilution

Risk Factors

  • CFIUS or HSR approval may be delayed, denied, or subject to burdensome conditions, potentially scuttling the tender offer and board seat rights.
  • Beretta's ownership cap and standstill provisions may limit its ability to accumulate shares or exert further influence, but the perpetual mirror voting obligation could create governance friction.
  • The agreement's complexity and Beretta's status as a competitor could lead to conflicts of interest or regulatory scrutiny.
  • If the tender offer does not materialize, the stock may lose the support of the $44.80 floor.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Ordnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEFA14A Filing (Primary)0002077096-26-000115
Document: 0002077096-26-000115-index-headers.html0002077096-26-000115
Document: 0002077096-26-000115-index.html0002077096-26-000115
Document: 0002077096-26-000115.txt0002077096-26-000115
15 reports for RGR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+1▲ +6.19%Oct 16, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RGR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$50.10awaiting T+20—$45.46 (−9.26%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
SC TO-T/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$48.74awaiting T+20—$45.46 (−6.73%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
SC TO-T/A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$45.90awaiting T+20—$45.46 (−0.96%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$40.14 $42.94▲ +6.98%▲ +5.52%$45.46 (+13.25%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$39.39 $37.65▼ −4.42%▼ −3.04%$45.46 (+15.41%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$40.04 $40.49▲ +1.12%▲ +2.54%$45.46 (+13.54%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$39.47 $39.47· 0.00%▼ −2.12%$45.46 (+15.18%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$39.04 $38.77▲ +0.69%▲ +0.72%$45.46 (−16.44%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.77 $38.84▼ −7.01%▼ −11.97%$45.46 (+8.83%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$40.99 $38.94▼ −5.00%▼ −10.65%$45.46 (+10.91%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 6h 52m

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Report published May 4, 2026