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SC TO-T/A ·Filed Oct 16, 2026

RGR

STURM RUGER & CO INC
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed9d 18h ago SEC0001193805-26-001376
Notable filing: SC TO-T/A
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

With the tender offer complete and oversubscribed, Beretta will become a significant shareholder in RGR. Watch for Beretta's next moves—whether it seeks board representation, pushes for operational changes, or increases its stake. The termination of the poison pill and Beretta's stated interest in expanding Ruger's international presence suggest a collaborative long-term investment rather than a hostile takeover.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
RGR ▲ +6.19% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +6.19% · α vs SPY +5.85% · entry $45.90 → $48.74
Next anchor: T+5d due 3d ago
Latest observation: T+4 -2.91% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.19%
call +6.19% · α +5.85%
$48.74
settled 7d ago
T+5d
Pending
due 3d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 18d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Beretta Holding S.A. filed this Amendment No. 1 to its Schedule TO to report the preliminary results of its cash tender offer for up to 2,400,184 shares of Sturm, Ruger & Co., Inc. (RGR) at $44.80 per share. The tender offer expired on October 15, 2026, and was oversubscribed with 3,589,647 shares validly tendered (excluding guaranteed delivery shares), resulting in an estimated proration factor of approximately 38.45%. This marks Beretta's first investment in a publicly listed company and follows its prior activist stake (SC 13D/A filed May 2026) and Ruger's termination of its shareholder rights plan (8-K filed September 16, 2026), indicating a successful partial acquisition.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$107.5M
Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • Beretta Holding offered $44.80 per share for up to 2,400,184 shares of RGR common stock.
  • The tender offer expired on October 15, 2026, and was oversubscribed with 3,589,647 shares validly tendered (excluding 2,652,256 shares by notice of guaranteed delivery).
  • Beretta will purchase 2,400,184 shares at an estimated proration factor of approximately 38.45%.
  • Beretta Holding is a Luxembourg corporation; this is its first participation in a publicly listed company.
  • Ruger terminated its shareholder rights plan (poison pill) on September 16, 2026, clearing the path for Beretta's tender offer.
  • Beretta previously filed an SC 13D/A on May 4, 2026, indicating an activist stake.

Financial Impact

Beretta will acquire 2,400,184 shares at $44.80 per share, for total consideration of approximately $107.5 million. The proration factor of ~38.45% means tendering shareholders will have about 61.55% of their tendered shares returned.

ownership_structureshare_price

Risk Factors

  • The final proration factor is subject to confirmation by the depositary and could differ from the preliminary estimate.
  • Beretta's status as a foreign entity (Luxembourg) may introduce regulatory or CFIUS considerations for future actions.
  • The oversubscription indicates strong shareholder demand to sell at $44.80, which may signal limited confidence in RGR's standalone prospects.

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC TO-T/A Filing (Primary)0001193805-26-001376
Document: e665843_ex99-a5v.htm0001193805-26-001376
Document: 0001193805-26-001376-index-headers.html0001193805-26-001376
Document: 0001193805-26-001376-index.html0001193805-26-001376
Document: 0001193805-26-001376.txt0001193805-26-001376
15 reports for RGR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+1▲ +3.74%May 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RGR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$50.10awaiting T+20—$46.25 (−7.68%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
SC TO-T/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$48.74awaiting T+20—$46.25 (−5.11%)
Oct 16, 2026
9d ago
SC TO-T/A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$45.90awaiting T+20—$46.25 (+0.76%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$40.14 $42.94▲ +6.98%▲ +5.52%$46.25 (+15.22%)
Jun 4, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$39.39 $37.65▼ −4.42%▼ −3.04%$46.25 (+17.42%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$40.04 $40.49▲ +1.12%▲ +2.54%$46.25 (+15.51%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$39.47 $39.47· 0.00%▼ −2.12%$46.25 (+17.18%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$39.04 $38.77▲ +0.69%▲ +0.72%$46.25 (−18.47%)
May 4, 2026
24w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.77 $38.84▼ −7.01%▼ −11.97%$46.25 (+10.73%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$40.99 $38.94▼ −5.00%▼ −10.65%$46.25 (+12.83%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published Oct 16, 2026