Institutional Cluster

REPL

Replimune Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The cluster shows no active-manager buying conviction; passive rebalancing dominates the buy side while a quant and a passive manager both sold heavily. Monitor for further insider selling (7 sells in 30d) and any catalyst-driven reversal. The net negative institutional flow suggests caution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
REPL ▲ +74.48% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -74.48% · α vs SPY -70.08% · entry $8.62 → $15.04
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+3.02%
call -3.02% · α -2.48%
$8.88
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+16.01%
call -16.01% · α -15.58%
$10.00
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+28.89%
call -28.89% · α -27.00%
$11.11
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+74.48%
call -74.48% · α -70.08%
$15.04
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

In Q3 2025, four mega-passive institutions (Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Invesco, UBS) increased their REPL holdings by a net $320K, while two sellers (Citadel and BofA) reduced by $6.3M. The cluster is dominated by passive rebalancing, not active conviction, and the net selling pressure outweighs buying, suggesting no strong shared bullish thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$15.9M
Sell Value
$7.3M
Net Flow
-$6.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$6.0M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
FidelityDOUBLED+247.5%$5.7M$2.1M
Morgan StanleyADD+49.2%$5.8M-$2.8M
InvescoADD+29.3%$647.0K-$462.0K
UBSDOUBLED+270.4%$3.8M$1.5M

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
CitadelTRIM-56.7%$2.6M-$2.1M
BofANEAR_EXIT-78.4%$4.7M-$4.2M

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers added $15.9M in current holdings, net change +$320K
  • 2 sellers reduced by $6.3M, led by BofA near-exit (-$4.2M) and Citadel trim (-$2.1M)
  • All buyers are mega-passive/index funds (Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Invesco, UBS) — low signal conviction
  • Sellers include a quant fund (Citadel) and a passive manager (BofA), both reducing significantly
  • Net institutional flow is negative: sellers removed $6.3M vs buyers added only $320K

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of approximately $6.0M (sellers $6.3M minus buyers $0.32M)

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive buying may reverse if index rebalancing ends
  • Insider selling pattern (7 sells in 30d) aligns with institutional distribution
  • Low analyst bullishness (8% buy rating) and small market cap ($699M) increase volatility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
8% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-REPL-2025-Q3
20 reports for REPL
Performance horizon
81% Hit rate 13 of 16 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +188.35%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for REPL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$14.71 $13.07▲ +11.15%▲ +11.16%—
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.05 $13.07▼ −6.98%▼ −6.98%—
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.97 $13.11▼ −12.42%▼ −10.43%—
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.97 $13.11▼ −12.42%▼ −10.43%—
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$15.19 $12.92▼ −14.94%▼ −13.20%—
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$15.19 $12.92▼ −14.94%▼ −13.20%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.67 $14.77▼ −8.05%▼ −8.96%—
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$12.06 $15.04▲ +24.71%▲ +25.11%—
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

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Report published Jun 11, 2026