8-K ·Filed Jul 28, 2026

RCL

ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0000884887-26-000036
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The beat-and-raise quarter confirms strong demand and pricing power despite geopolitical noise. The raised full-year guidance implies accelerating H2 earnings power. Watch Q3 booking trends for Mediterranean itineraries and fuel cost trajectory; the stock may re-rate higher if Q3 guidance proves conservative.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
RCL ▼ -9.37% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -9.37% · α vs SPY -12.75% · entry $322.50 → $292.29
Next anchor: T+60d in 19d
Latest observation: T+45 -18.77% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 27, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.33%
call +0.33% · α +1.87%
$323.58
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.47%
call +0.47% · α -1.80%
$324.00
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-9.37%
call -9.37% · α -12.75%
$292.29
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 19d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Royal Caribbean reported Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS of $4.21, beating consensus of $3.98 by 5.7%, and raised full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $17.73-$17.87 (from $17.10-$17.50), representing 14% YoY growth. Revenue grew 6% YoY to $4.8B, in line with estimates, but GAAP net income declined YoY to $1.128B from $1.210B due to higher costs and interest expense. The beat and guidance raise signal strong demand and operational momentum, partially offset by geopolitical headwinds on select itineraries and elevated fuel costs.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$4.21
est $3.98 · +5.8%
Revenue
$4.8B
est $4.8B · +0.0% · +6.5% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
Revenue expected to grow 9% year over year
raised
Free Cash Flow
$457.0M

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS of $4.21 beat consensus of $3.98 by 5.7%
  • Full-year 2026 Adjusted EPS guidance raised to $17.73-$17.87 from $17.10-$17.50
  • Total revenue of $4.8B grew 6% YoY, in line with consensus
  • Net Yields increased 1.9% as-reported (1.2% constant currency), exceeding guidance
  • GAAP net income declined to $1.128B from $1.210B YoY due to higher costs and interest
  • Company returned over $600M to shareholders via $199M buybacks and $404M dividends in Q2
  • Liquidity position of $6.9B; revolving credit facility increased by $250M to $6.6B
  • Bookings at record prices with volumes above last year; modest geopolitical impact on select itineraries
  • Q3 2026 Adjusted EPS guided to $6.26-$6.36
  • Capacity growth of 6.6% for 2026; 4%, 6%, 7% for 2027-2029

Financial Impact

Q2 Adjusted EPS beat consensus by $0.23 (5.7%); full-year guidance raised by $0.50 at midpoint; revenue in line

epsrevenuenet yieldsadjusted ebitdaguidance

Risk Factors

  • Prolonged geopolitical disruption impacting high-yield Mediterranean and Mexico itineraries
  • Elevated fuel costs ($839/ton in Q2 vs $613/ton in Q1) pressuring margins
  • Higher interest expense ($236M in Q2 vs $228M YoY) from increased debt
  • GAAP net income decline despite revenue growth signals cost inflation
  • Capacity growth of 6.6% may pressure pricing if demand softens

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Water Transportation
Analyst Consensus
71% bullish (35 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000884887-26-000036
Document: 0000884887-26-000036-index-headers.html0000884887-26-000036
Document: 0000884887-26-000036-index.html0000884887-26-000036
Document: 0000884887-26-000036.txt0000884887-26-000036
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000884887-26-000036
13 reports for RCL
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +1.10%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RCL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$255.34 $250.25▼ −1.99%▼ −2.10%$277.89 (+8.83%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$292.00 $279.41▼ −4.31%▼ −4.79%$277.89 (−4.83%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$308.00 $301.61▼ −2.07%▼ −2.03%$277.89 (−9.78%)
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$319.99 $304.94▼ −4.70%▼ −5.10%$277.89 (−13.16%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$320.55 $309.72▼ −3.38%▼ −4.59%$277.89 (−13.31%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$322.50 $324.00▲ +0.47%▼ −1.80%$277.89 (−13.83%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$288.08 $293.95▲ +2.04%▲ +2.17%$277.89 (−3.54%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$267.71 $290.80▼ −8.63%▼ −7.43%$277.89 (−3.80%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$260.15 $281.29▼ −8.12%▼ −6.53%$277.89 (−6.82%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$253.94 $280.31▼ −10.38%▼ −8.58%$277.89 (−9.43%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 29m)

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