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S-3ASR ·Filed May 12, 2026

RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-059352
Notable filing: S-3ASR
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for a prospectus supplement that would specify offering size, price, and terms — that is the actual dilutive event. The shelf itself is a financing tool, but the proximity to earnings (5 days ago) suggests capital needs may be imminent. Watch for ATM or follow-on offering announcements that could pressure the stock.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
RCAT ▼ -2.02% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.02% · α vs SPY +6.46% · entry $9.40 → $9.21
Entry = T+0 close
May 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.00%
$9.40
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-9.04%
call +9.04% · α +7.88%
$8.55
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+27.77%
call -27.77% · α -28.38%
$12.01
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-2.02%
call +2.02% · α +6.46%
$9.21
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Red Cat Holdings filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) as a well-known seasoned issuer, registering an indeterminate amount of common stock, preferred stock, warrants, and units for potential future sale. The filing does not specify any offering size, price, or immediate plan to sell securities, and the registration fee is deferred under pay-as-you-go rules. This is a routine capital markets tool that provides financing flexibility, but combined with the company's recent quarterly report and earnings release, it signals potential future dilution.

Key Facts

  • Filed S-3ASR on May 12, 2026, effective immediately, registering an indeterminate amount of common stock, preferred stock, warrants, and units.
  • Registration fee deferred under Rule 456(b) and 457(r) — no upfront fee paid, indicating no immediate offering is priced.
  • Stock closed at $11.25 on May 11, 2026, with a market cap of approximately $1.4B.
  • Proceeds, if any, will be used for general corporate purposes including working capital, capital expenditures, debt repayment, and acquisitions.
  • Shelf filed 5 days after Q3 FY2026 earnings (8-K on May 7, 2026) and quarterly report (10-Q for period ended March 31, 2026).
  • Authorized common stock: 500,000,000 shares; authorized preferred stock: 10,000,000 shares.
  • Selling stockholders may also offer shares under this shelf in future prospectus supplements.

Financial Impact

No specific offering size disclosed; potential dilution indeterminate until a prospectus supplement is filed.

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Potential future dilution from equity issuance under the shelf.
  • No stated need for capital — if the company raises despite adequate cash, it may signal aggressive growth spending or acquisition plans.
  • Selling stockholder registration could lead to secondary sales, adding overhang.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3ASR Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-059352
Document: tm2614279d1_ex-filingfees.htm0001104659-26-059352
Document: tm2614279d2_ex5-1.htm0001104659-26-059352
Document: tm2614279d2_ex23-2.htm0001104659-26-059352
Document: tm2614279d2_ex23-1.htm0001104659-26-059352
Document: 0001104659-26-059352-index-headers.html0001104659-26-059352
Document: 0001104659-26-059352-index.html0001104659-26-059352
Document: 0001104659-26-059352.txt0001104659-26-059352
26 reports for RCAT
Performance horizon
73% Hit rate @ T+5 8 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 9 of 11 best @ T+5▲ +56.70%May 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for RCAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$4.43awaiting T+5—$4.81 (+8.58%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.40 $5.77▼ −9.84%▼ −11.00%$4.81 (−24.84%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.33 $5.91▼ −6.64%▼ −7.94%$4.81 (−24.01%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.53 $9.28▼ −2.62%▼ −3.74%$4.81 (−49.53%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.13 $9.62▼ −13.57%▼ −12.20%$4.81 (−56.78%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.00 $10.44▲ +4.40%▲ +4.45%$4.81 (−51.90%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$7.38 $8.67▲ +17.48%▲ +13.86%$4.81 (−34.82%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$7.83 $6.77▲ +13.54%▲ +11.14%$4.81 (+38.57%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.01 $11.20▼ −6.74%▼ −7.18%$4.81 (−59.95%)
May 21, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$9.03 $14.15▲ +56.70%▲ +55.10%$4.81 (−46.73%)
Showing 10 of 26

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Report published May 12, 2026